Tage Thompson

Buffalo Sabres · C · #72

CBJ @ BUF · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Assists, typical price −1657 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Assists hit in 5 of his last 10 games (1 of 3 at home).

vs FLA, 2026-10-12: 1, missed, 18 min
at MTL, 2026-10-13: 0, hit, 22.4 min
at TOR, 2026-10-15: 1, missed, 21.2 min
at MTL, 2026-10-17: 0, hit, 19.3 min
vs PHI, 2026-10-21: 0, hit, 20.1 min
at WSH, 2026-10-24: 0, hit, 17 min
at SJ, 2026-10-27: 1, missed, 17.2 min
at ANA, 2026-10-29: 2, missed, 17.8 min
at LA, 2026-10-31: 0, hit, 20.2 min
vs OTT, 2026-11-04: 1, missed, 19.6 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 assists.

What's different today

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayOpposing goalie
Jet Greaves (Confirmed)
Saves: 188 of 212 (.887) over his last 10 games · 4 of CBJ's last 10 starts · Cam Talbot started 6
Teammate out
Konsta Helenius: Out (upper body)
Under 0.5 without him: 23 of 38; with him: 13 of 24 (62 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
CBJ allow 3.64 assists a game to forwards: 18th most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 3.60, 17th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 18.4 min · 2026–27: 19.4 (15 games)
Power play: 2.9 min last 5 · 3.5 2026–27

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CBJ in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 5 of 6 against CBJ on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Rasmus DahlinD
Zach BensonLW
Jack QuinnRW
Konsta HeleniusCOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Sabres count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CBJ

Assists: 0 in 19.8 min, Oct 1 (away)

Under 0.5 hit in 5 of 6 games against CBJ on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.6; +0.1 vs line
Median: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 62%; at −165
Books’ fair: 58%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −132

Research, not a pick. At −160 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −132, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
+1207 books	−1652 books	5/10
+6803 books	—	9/10
+25001 book	—	10/10

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Pinnacle6 min ago	+120	−160Best
DraftKings6 min ago	+120	−165
Bally Bet6 min ago	−106	—
betPARX2 min ago	−106	—
BetRivers3 min ago	−106	—
Bovada6 min ago	+126Best	—
FanDuel2 min ago	+126Best	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 12:32 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Tage Thompson's full game log and splits