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Tage Thompson

Buffalo Sabres · C · #72

CBJ @ BUF · Today 7:00 PM
OverUnder3.5
Over 3.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1257 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 3.5

50%5 of 10L10

Over 3.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (0 of 3 at home).

  1. vs FLA, 2026-10-12: 1, missed, 18 min
  2. at MTL, 2026-10-13: 1, missed, 22.4 min
  3. at TOR, 2026-10-15: 6, cleared, 21.2 min
  4. at MTL, 2026-10-17: 5, cleared, 19.3 min
  5. vs PHI, 2026-10-21: 3, missed, 20.1 min
  6. at WSH, 2026-10-24: 0, missed, 17 min
  7. at SJ, 2026-10-27: 6, cleared, 17.2 min
  8. at ANA, 2026-10-29: 4, cleared, 17.8 min
  9. at LA, 2026-10-31: 8, cleared, 20.2 min
  10. vs OTT, 2026-11-04: 2, missed, 19.6 min
ClearedMissedThe 3.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

What's different today

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • TodayOpposing goalie

    Jet Greaves (Expected)

    Saves: 188 of 212 (.887) over his last 10 games · 4 of CBJ's last 10 starts · Cam Talbot started 6

  • Teammate out

    Konsta Helenius: Out (upper body)

    Over 3.5 without him: 15 of 38; with him: 14 of 24 (62 games as teammates)

  • Defense vs forwards

    CBJ allow 18.4 shots on goal a game to forwards: 25th most of 32

    14 games · last 10 games: 17.7, 26th most

  • Time on ice

    Last 5: 18.4 min · 2026–27: 19.4 (15 games)

    Power play: 2.9 min last 5 · 3.5 2026–27

Splits

Over 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CBJ in his last 10; Over 3.5 cleared in 3 of 6 against CBJ on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 3.5 · L10

  • Rasmus DahlinD

  • Zach BensonLW

  • Jack QuinnRW

  • Konsta HeleniusCOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Sabres count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CBJ

Shots on Goal: 4 in 19.8 min, Oct 1 (away)

Over 3.5 hit in 3 of 6 games against CBJ on record

L10 · Over 3.5

Average
3.6
+0.1 vs line
Median
3.5
±0 vs line
Hit rate
50%
5 of 10
Price implies
56%
at −125
Books’ fair
51%
margin removed
Time on ice
19.3
10 games · 19.3 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 51%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−60001 book—9/10
−10003 books—7/10
−2903 books—6/10
−1257 books−1146 books5/10
+1853 books—4/10
+3603 books—3/10
+7503 books—1/10
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 3.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 3.5Under 3.5
Pinnacle4 min ago−113Best−117
FanDuel3 min ago−114−114
DraftKings4 min ago−120−115
Bovada4 min ago−125−105
Bally Bet4 min ago−137−103Best
betPARX3 min ago−137−103Best
BetRivers4 min ago−137—
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 12:29 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

4.5 → 3.5 since first seen

Tage Thompson's full game log and splits