T.J. Hughes

Colorado Avalanche · RW · #13

COL @ CBJ · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Points, typical price −2005 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightRest · back-to-back
Avalanche played last night (at CHI): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Josh Manson: Out (ankle)
Under 0.5 without him: 1 of 2; with him: 9 of 13 (15 games as teammates). A small sample.
Opposing goalie
Cam Talbot (Confirmed)
Saves: 178 of 207 (.860) over his last 10 games · 5 of CBJ's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
CBJ allow 6.83 points a game to forwards: 10th most of 32
12 games · last 10 games: 6.70, 11th most

60%6 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Points hit in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

at DAL, 2026-10-13: 0, hit, 13.1 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-14: 0, hit, 14.5 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-16: 1, missed, 12.5 min
at PHI, 2026-10-19: 1, missed, 16.9 min
at NJ, 2026-10-20: 0, hit, 15.7 min
vs TB, 2026-10-23: 1, missed, 13.2 min
at NSH, 2026-10-25: 0, hit, 17.3 min
vs NJ, 2026-10-28: 0, hit, 13.2 min
vs CGY, 2026-10-31: 0, hit, 17 min
at CHI, 2026-11-02: 2, missed, 17.2 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–1 points.

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CBJ on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Nathan MacKinnonC
Martin NecasC
Devon ToewsD
Josh MansonDOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Avalanche count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CBJ

Hughes didn't play the Jan 10 meeting

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 67%; at −200
Books’ fair: 63%; margin removed
Our chance: 62%; estimate · fair −164

Research, not a pick. At −200 the price is worse than our fair −164, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1405 books	−2001 book	6/10
	+7005 books	—	9/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings6 min ago	+150Best	−200Best
Bally Bet6 min ago	+140	—
betPARX4 min ago	+140	—
BetRivers5 min ago	+140	—
Bovada11 min ago	+140	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 3:54 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

T.J. Hughes's full game log and splits