Steven Stamkos
STL @ NSH · Today 1:00 PMGame log against Under 0.5
70%7 of 10L10
Under 0.5 Assists hit in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 7 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 assists.
What's different today
Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickOpposing goalie
Joel Hofer (Expected)
Saves: 266 of 292 (.911) over his last 10 games · 7 of STL's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
STL allow 3.88 assists a game to forwards: 13th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 3.70, 16th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 18.5 min · 2026–27: 18.7 (16 games)
Power play: 4.2 min last 5 · 3.9 2026–27
Rest
1 day off since Nov 5 at COL
Splits
Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 0.5 · L10Roman JosiD
Filip ForsbergLW
Ryan O'ReillyC
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Predators count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs STL
Assists: 2 in 17.6 min, Oct 17 (home)
Under 0.5 hit in 4 of 9 games against STL on record
L10 · Under 0.5
- Average
- 0.4
- −0.1 vs line
- Median
- 0
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 69%
- at −224
- Books’ fair
- 63%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 64%
- estimate · fair −181
Research, not a pick. At −200 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −181, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +1336 books | −2242 books | 7/10 | |
| +9002 books | — | 9/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings3 min ago | +145 | −200Best |
| Pinnacle3 min ago | +164Best | −224 |
| Bally Bet3 min ago | +133 | — |
| betPARX1 min ago | +133 | — |
| BetRiversjust now | +133 | — |
| FanDuel1 min ago | +158 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:56 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.


