Steven Stamkos

Nashville Predators · C · #91

STL @ NSH · Today 1:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price −1656 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (5 of 7 at home).

vs SJ, 2026-10-15: 1, cleared, 20.6 min
vs STL, 2026-10-17: 2, cleared, 17.6 min
at BOS, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 14.1 min
at PIT, 2026-10-24: 1, cleared, 19 min
vs COL, 2026-10-25: 3, cleared, 17.8 min
vs NYI, 2026-10-27: 1, cleared, 20.3 min
vs WSH, 2026-10-29: 0, missed, 20.4 min
vs TB, 2026-10-31: 1, cleared, 16.3 min
vs CAR, 2026-11-03: 0, missed, 16.6 min
at COL, 2026-11-05: 1, cleared, 19 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 points.

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Opposing goalie
Joel Hofer (Expected)
Saves: 266 of 292 (.911) over his last 10 games · 7 of STL's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
STL allow 6.56 points a game to forwards: 13th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 6.60, 11th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 18.5 min · 2026–27: 18.7 (16 games)
Power play: 4.2 min last 5 · 3.9 2026–27
Rest
1 day off since Nov 5 at COL

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Roman JosiD
Filip ForsbergLW
Ryan O'ReillyC

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Predators count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs STL

Points: 2 in 17.6 min, Oct 17 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 7 of 9 games against STL on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 1; +0.5 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 62%; at −165
Books’ fair: 58%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −159

Research, not a pick. At −162 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −159, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1656 books	+1202 books	7/10
+2805 books	—	2/10
+11002 books	—	1/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
FanDuel2 min ago	−162Best	—
Bally Bet2 min ago	−165	—
betPARX2 min ago	−165	—
BetRivers2 min ago	−165	—
DraftKings2 min ago	−165	+120Best
Pinnacle2 min ago	−165	+120Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:54 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

−160 → −165 since first seen

Steven Stamkos's full game log and splits