Simon Holmstrom
CAR @ NYI · LiveGame log against Over 1.5
57%8 of 14L20 · Without Barzal
Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 8 of 14 games without Mathew Barzal (his last 20 games).
What's different yesterday
Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pickYesterdayTeammate out
Mathew Barzal: Injured Reserve (knee)
Over 1.5 without him: 9 of 15; with him: 28 of 78 (93 games as teammates)
YesterdayOpposing goalie
Brandon Bussi (Confirmed)
Saves: 209 of 235 (.889) over his last 10 games · 2 of CAR's last 10 starts · Pyotr Kochetkov started 8
Teammate out
Matias Maccelli: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 1.5 without him: 6 of 6; with him: 2 of 8 (14 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Calum Ritchie: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 1.5 without him: 9 of 12; with him: 25 of 71 (83 games as teammates)
Splits
Over 1.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 1.5 · L20Mathew BarzalCInjured Reserve
Matthew SchaeferD
Bo HorvatC
Matias MaccelliLWInjured Reserve
Calum RitchieCInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Islanders count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs CAR
Shots on Goal: 1 in 16.6 min, Apr 14 (home)
Over 1.5 hit in 1 of 11 games against CAR on record
L20 · Without Barzal · Over 1.5
- Average
- 1.8
- +0.3 vs line
- Median
- 2
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 57%
- 8 of 14
- Price implies
- 52%
- at −110
- Books’ fair
- 49%
- margin removed
- Time on ice
- 18.4
- 14 games · 16.7 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 49%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L20 · Without Barzal| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −4501 book | — | 11/14 | |
| −1103 books | −1253 books | 8/14 | |
| +2801 book | — | 5/14 | |
| +7501 book | — | 1/14 | |
| +20001 book | — | 0/14 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet6 hr ago | −106Best | −134 |
| DraftKings6 hr ago | −110 | −125 |
| Pinnacle6 hr ago | −116 | −114Best |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:09 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5+106 → −110 since first seen
This page last updated 7:09 PM ET.


