Simon Holmstrom
CAR @ NYI · Today 7:00 PMGame log against Over 0.5
21%3 of 14L20 · Without Barzal
Over 0.5 Goals cleared in 3 of 14 games without Mathew Barzal (his last 20 games).
What's different today
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayTeammate out
Mathew Barzal: Injured Reserve (knee)
Over 0.5 without him: 4 of 15; with him: 16 of 78 (93 games as teammates)
TodayDefense vs forwards
CAR allow 1.88 goals a game to forwards: 31st most of 32
17 games · last 10 games: 1.80, 31st most
Teammate out
Matias Maccelli: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 0.5 without him: 1 of 6; with him: 2 of 8 (14 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Calum Ritchie: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 0.5 without him: 2 of 12; with him: 15 of 71 (83 games as teammates)
Splits
Over 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 0.5 · L20Mathew BarzalCInjured Reserve
Matthew SchaeferD
Bo HorvatC
Matias MaccelliLWInjured Reserve
Calum RitchieCInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Islanders count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs CAR
Goals: 0 in 16.6 min, Apr 14 (home)
Over 0.5 hit in 1 of 11 games against CAR on record
L20 · Without Barzal · Over 0.5
- Average
- 0.3
- −0.2 vs line
- Median
- 0
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 21%
- 3 of 14
- Price implies
- 25%
- at +300
- Books’ fair
- 23%
- margin removed
- Time on ice
- 18.4
- 14 games · 16.7 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 23%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L20 · Without Barzal| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +3006 books | −4742 books | 3/14 | |
| +22005 books | — | 1/14 | |
| +250001 book | — | 0/14 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle4 min ago | +310Best | −474 |
| Bally Bet4 min ago | +300 | — |
| betPARXjust now | +300 | — |
| BetRivers1 min ago | +300 | — |
| DraftKings4 min ago | +300 | — |
| FanDueljust now | +300 | −470Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:18 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Over: +320 → +300 since first seen


