Simon Holmstrom

New York Islanders · RW · #92

CAR @ NYI · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1076 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

57%8 of 14L20 · Without Barzal

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 8 of 14 games without Mathew Barzal (his last 20 games).

vs PHI, 2026-04-03: 3, cleared, 20.2 min (not counted)
at CAR, 2026-04-04: 0, missed, 16 min (not counted)
vs TOR, 2026-04-09: 3, cleared, 16.4 min (not counted)
vs OTT, 2026-04-11: 0, missed, 18.7 min (not counted)
vs MTL, 2026-04-12: 1, missed, 16.1 min (not counted)
vs CAR, 2026-04-14: 1, missed, 16.6 min (not counted)
at TOR, 2026-09-30: 0, missed, 20.3 min
vs NJ, 2026-10-03: 1, missed, 16.8 min
at NYR, 2026-10-06: 1, missed, 15.2 min
vs CHI, 2026-10-08: 0, missed, 15.6 min
vs TB, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 13.3 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-13: 4, cleared, 13.3 min
at OTT, 2026-10-15: 1, missed, 17 min
at TOR, 2026-10-17: 2, cleared, 20 min
vs ANA, 2026-10-20: 3, cleared, 20.2 min
vs LA, 2026-10-22: 3, cleared, 20.8 min
at DAL, 2026-10-25: 2, cleared, 19 min
at NSH, 2026-10-27: 3, cleared, 25 min
at MIN, 2026-10-29: 2, cleared, 20.3 min
vs EDM, 2026-10-31: 3, cleared, 20.5 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

What's different today

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Mathew Barzal: Injured Reserve (knee)
Over 1.5 without him: 9 of 15; with him: 28 of 78 (93 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Matias Maccelli: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 1.5 without him: 6 of 6; with him: 2 of 8 (14 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Calum Ritchie: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 1.5 without him: 9 of 12; with him: 25 of 71 (83 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Pyotr Kochetkov (Expected)
Saves: 196 of 212 (.925) over his last 10 games · 8 of CAR's last 10 starts

Splits

Over 1.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L20

Mathew BarzalCInjured Reserve
Matthew SchaeferD
Bo HorvatC
Matias MaccelliLWInjured Reserve
Calum RitchieCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Islanders count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CAR

Shots on Goal: 1 in 16.6 min, Apr 14 (home)

Over 1.5 hit in 1 of 11 games against CAR on record

L20 · Without Barzal · Over 1.5

Average: 1.8; +0.3 vs line
Median: 2; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 57%; 8 of 14
Price implies: 52%; at −107
Books’ fair: 48%; margin removed
Time on ice: 18.4; 14 games · 16.7 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 48%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Barzal

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−5202 books	—	11/14
−1076 books	−1324 books	8/14
+2852 books	—	5/14
+7501 book	—	1/14
+20001 book	—	0/14

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
DraftKings9 min ago	−105Best	−130
Bally Bet9 min ago	−107	−132
betPARX4 min ago	−107	−132
BetRivers4 min ago	−107	—
FanDuel4 min ago	−108	—
Pinnacle9 min ago	−116	−114Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 1:54 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

+106 → −107 since first seen

Simon Holmstrom's full game log and splits