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Seth Jarvis

Carolina Hurricanes · C · #24

CAR @ NYI · Live
OverUnder0.5
Under 0.5 Assists, typical price −1933 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Under 0.5

50%5 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Assists hit in 5 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 on the road).

  1. at VGK, 2026-06-06: 1, missed, 27.4 min
  2. at VGK, 2026-06-09: 0, hit, 18.5 min
  3. vs VGK, 2026-06-11: 1, missed, 19.9 min
  4. at VGK, 2026-06-14: 0, hit, 18.7 min
  5. at EDM, 2026-10-22: 0, hit, 15.3 min
  6. at STL, 2026-10-24: 2, missed, 16.3 min
  7. vs BOS, 2026-10-27: 0, hit, 16.5 min
  8. vs CBJ, 2026-10-29: 2, missed, 16.4 min
  9. vs WPG, 2026-11-01: 2, missed, 16.3 min
  10. at NSH, 2026-11-03: 0, hit, 20.5 min
Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0–2 assists.

What's different yesterday

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • YesterdayOpposing goalie

    Semyon Varlamov (Confirmed)

    Saves: 81 of 91 (.890) over his last 4 games · 3 of NYI's last 10 starts · Ilya Sorokin started 7

  • Teammate out

    Jordan Staal: Injured Reserve (calf)

    Under 0.5 without him: 7 of 10; with him: 56 of 96 (106 games as teammates)

  • Defense vs forwards

    NYI allow 2.93 assists a game to forwards: 29th most of 32

    14 games · last 10 games: 3.00, 27th most

  • Time on ice

    Last 5: 17.2 min · 2025–26: 19.2 (90 games)

    Power play: 1.2 min last 5 · 1.2 2026–27

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NYI in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 7 of 11 against NYI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

  • Sebastian AhoC

  • Jackson BlakeRW

  • Nikolaj EhlersLW

  • Jordan StaalCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Hurricanes count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NYI

Jarvis didn't play the Apr 14 meeting; assists the last time Jarvis faced them: 1 (Apr 4)

Under 0.5 hit in 7 of 11 games against NYI on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average
0.8
+0.3 vs line
Median
0.5
±0 vs line
Hit rate
50%
5 of 10
Price implies
66%
at −193
Books’ fair
61%
margin removed
Our chance
60%
estimate · fair −148

Research, not a pick. At −190 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −148, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
+1433 books−1932 books5/10
+8001 book—7/10
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5Under 0.5
DraftKings7 hr ago+140−190Best
Pinnacle7 hr ago+143−193
Bally Bet7 hr ago+160Best—
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 7:09 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Seth Jarvis's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:09 PM ET.