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Seth Jarvis

Carolina Hurricanes · C · #24

CAR @ NYI · Today 7:00 PM
OverUnder2.5
Over 2.5 Shots on Goal, typical price +1126 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 2.5

50%5 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 6 on the road).

  1. at VGK, 2026-06-06: 1, missed, 27.4 min
  2. at VGK, 2026-06-09: 2, missed, 18.5 min
  3. vs VGK, 2026-06-11: 4, cleared, 19.9 min
  4. at VGK, 2026-06-14: 2, missed, 18.7 min
  5. at EDM, 2026-10-22: 3, cleared, 15.3 min
  6. at STL, 2026-10-24: 3, cleared, 16.3 min
  7. vs BOS, 2026-10-27: 0, missed, 16.5 min
  8. vs CBJ, 2026-10-29: 3, cleared, 16.4 min
  9. vs WPG, 2026-11-01: 3, cleared, 16.3 min
  10. at NSH, 2026-11-03: 1, missed, 20.5 min
ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

What's different today

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • TodayOpposing goalie

    Semyon Varlamov (Confirmed)

    Saves: 81 of 91 (.890) over his last 4 games · 3 of NYI's last 10 starts · Ilya Sorokin started 7

  • Teammate out

    Jordan Staal: Injured Reserve (calf)

    Over 2.5 without him: 7 of 10; with him: 47 of 96 (106 games as teammates)

  • Defense vs forwards

    NYI allow 19.4 shots on goal a game to forwards: 20th most of 32

    14 games · last 10 games: 19.3, 19th most

  • Time on ice

    Last 5: 17.2 min · 2025–26: 19.2 (90 games)

    Power play: 1.2 min last 5 · 1.2 2026–27

Splits

Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NYI in his last 10; Over 2.5 cleared in 5 of 11 against NYI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L10

  • Sebastian AhoC

  • Jackson BlakeRW

  • Nikolaj EhlersLW

  • Jordan StaalCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Hurricanes count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NYI

Jarvis didn't play the Apr 14 meeting; shots on goal the last time Jarvis faced them: 6 (Apr 4)

Over 2.5 hit in 5 of 11 games against NYI on record

L10 · Over 2.5

Average
2.2
−0.3 vs line
Median
2.5
±0 vs line
Hit rate
50%
5 of 10
Price implies
47%
at +112
Books’ fair
42%
margin removed
Time on ice
18.6
10 games · 19.2 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 42%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−15002 books—9/10
−2402 books—7/10
pick'em onlypick'em only5/10
+1126 books−1615 books5/10
+3102 books—1/10
+7501 book—0/10
+18001 book—0/10
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 2.5Under 2.5
FanDuel3 min ago+134Best−176
DraftKings7 min ago+125−170
Pinnacle7 min ago+121−161
Bally Bet7 min ago+112−157Best
betPARX2 min ago+112−157Best
BetRivers1 min ago+112—
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 2:24 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over: +144 → +112 since first seen

Seth Jarvis's full game log and splits