Sam Steel

Dallas Stars · C · #18

DAL @ WSH · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Goals, typical price +5006 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightTeammate out
Matt Duchene: Injured Reserve (abdomen)
Over 0.5 without him: 5 of 37; with him: 8 of 66 (103 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Oskar Back: Injured Reserve (finger)
Over 0.5 without him: 2 of 21; with him: 11 of 82 (103 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Logan Thompson (Expected)
Saves: 253 of 279 (.907) over his last 10 games · 7 of WSH's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
WSH allow 2.92 goals a game to forwards: 8th most of 32
13 games · last 10 games: 3.10, 7th most

8%1 of 12L20 · Without Duchene

Over 0.5 Goals cleared in 1 of 12 games without Matt Duchene (his last 20 games).

at NYI, 2026-03-26: 0, missed, 13.6 min (not counted)
at BUF, 2026-04-15: 0, missed, 15.7 min (not counted)
vs MIN, 2026-04-18: 0, missed, 15.7 min (not counted)
vs MIN, 2026-04-20: 0, missed, 16.5 min (not counted)
at MIN, 2026-04-22: 0, missed, 23 min (not counted)
at MIN, 2026-04-25: 0, missed, 17.7 min (not counted)
vs MIN, 2026-04-28: 0, missed, 13.6 min (not counted)
at MIN, 2026-04-30: 0, missed, 13.6 min (not counted)
vs STL, 2026-10-02: 0, missed, 11.3 min
at NSH, 2026-10-03: 0, missed, 16.2 min
vs SJ, 2026-10-05: 0, missed, 14.7 min
at BUF, 2026-10-08: 1, cleared, 15.5 min
at PIT, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 18.6 min
vs COL, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 20.5 min
at COL, 2026-10-14: 0, missed, 18.7 min
at CHI, 2026-10-17: 0, missed, 13.7 min
vs BOS, 2026-10-20: 0, missed, 14 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 16.2 min
vs MTL, 2026-10-29: 0, missed, 16.4 min
vs CBJ, 2026-10-31: 0, missed, 18.3 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineTime on ice

Count only

Over 0.5 · L20

With or without

Over 0.5 · L20

Mikko RantanenRW
Jason RobertsonLW
Matt DucheneCInjured Reserve
Oskar BackCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Stars count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs WSH

Goals: 1 in 18.3 min, Jan 7 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 1 of 4 games against WSH on record

L20 · Without Duchene · Over 0.5

Average: 0.1; −0.4 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 8%; 1 of 12
Price implies: 17%; at +500
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Time on ice: 16.2; 12 games · 16.1 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Duchene

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L20
	+5006 books	pick'em only	1/12
	+59596 books	—	0/12

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Goals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
FanDuel5 min ago	+575Best	—
Bally Bet12 min ago	+500	—
betPARX7 min ago	+500	—
BetRivers5 min ago	+500	—
Bovada12 min ago	+500	—
DraftKings12 min ago	+500	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:36 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over +525 → +500 since first seen

Sam Steel's full game log and splits