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Sam Steel

Dallas Stars · C · #18

DAL @ WSH · Tue, Nov 3 7:00 PM
OverUnder0.5
Over 0.5 Assists, typical price +3301 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different yesterday

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • YesterdayTeammate out

    Matt Duchene: Injured Reserve (abdomen)

    Over 0.5 without him: 5 of 37; with him: 16 of 65 (102 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Oskar Back: Injured Reserve (finger)

    Over 0.5 without him: 3 of 21; with him: 18 of 81 (102 games as teammates)

  • Opposing goalie

    Logan Thompson started WSH's last game

    Saves: 253 of 279 (.907) over his last 10 games · 7 of WSH's last 10 starts · no probable starter posted yet

  • Defense vs forwards

    WSH allow 3.77 assists a game to forwards: 14th most of 32

    13 games · last 10 games: 4.00, 12th most

Game log against Over 0.5

17%2 of 12L20 · Without Duchene

Over 0.5 Assists cleared in 2 of 12 games without Matt Duchene (his last 20 games).

  1. at NYI, 2026-03-26: 0, missed, 13.6 min (not counted)
  2. at BUF, 2026-04-15: 0, missed, 15.7 min (not counted)
  3. vs MIN, 2026-04-18: 0, missed, 15.7 min (not counted)
  4. vs MIN, 2026-04-20: 0, missed, 16.5 min (not counted)
  5. at MIN, 2026-04-22: 0, missed, 23 min (not counted)
  6. at MIN, 2026-04-25: 0, missed, 17.7 min (not counted)
  7. vs MIN, 2026-04-28: 0, missed, 13.6 min (not counted)
  8. at MIN, 2026-04-30: 0, missed, 13.6 min (not counted)
  9. vs STL, 2026-10-02: 0, missed, 11.3 min
  10. at NSH, 2026-10-03: 0, missed, 16.2 min
  11. vs SJ, 2026-10-05: 1, cleared, 14.7 min
  12. at BUF, 2026-10-08: 0, missed, 15.5 min
  13. at PIT, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 18.6 min
  14. vs COL, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 20.5 min
  15. at COL, 2026-10-14: 0, missed, 18.7 min
  16. at CHI, 2026-10-17: 1, cleared, 13.7 min
  17. vs BOS, 2026-10-20: 0, missed, 14 min
  18. vs WPG, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 16.2 min
  19. vs MTL, 2026-10-29: 0, missed, 16.4 min
  20. vs CBJ, 2026-10-31: 0, missed, 18.3 min
ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against WSH in his last 20; Over 0.5 cleared in 1 of 4 against WSH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L20

  • Mikko RantanenRW

  • Jason RobertsonLW

  • Matt DucheneCInjured Reserve

  • Oskar BackCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Stars count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs WSH

Assists: 1 in 18.3 min, Jan 7 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 1 of 4 games against WSH on record

L20 · Without Duchene · Over 0.5

Average
0.2
−0.3 vs line
Median
0
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
17%
2 of 12
Price implies
23%
at +330
Books’ fair
22%
margin removed
Time on ice
16.2
12 games · 16.1 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 22%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Duchene
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL20
+3301 book−4751 book2/12
Compare 1 sportsbook at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5Under 0.5
DraftKings9 hr ago+330Best−475Best

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: +340 → +330 since first seen

Sam Steel's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:12 PM ET.