Sam Reinhart

Florida Panthers · C · #13

CHI @ FLA · Tomorrow 7:30 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1132 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightDefense vs forwards
CHI allow 22.9 shots on goal a game to forwards: 2nd most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 24.0, 2nd most
Teammate out
Aleksander Barkov: Injured Reserve (knee)
Over 2.5 without him: 37 of 77; with him: 8 of 18 (95 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Brad Marchand: Injured Reserve (knee)
Over 2.5 without him: 12 of 25; with him: 33 of 70 (95 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Spencer Knight (Expected)
Saves: 273 of 304 (.898) over his last 10 games · 9 of CHI's last 10 starts

60%6 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 at home).

at BUF, 2026-10-12: 2, missed, 20.5 min
at CBJ, 2026-10-13: 7, cleared, 19.4 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-15: 5, cleared, 22.3 min
vs SEA, 2026-10-17: 3, cleared, 17.4 min
at OTT, 2026-10-21: 0, missed, 15.9 min
at PIT, 2026-10-22: 6, cleared, 20.5 min
at CHI, 2026-10-25: 2, missed, 20.1 min
at WPG, 2026-10-27: 2, missed, 18.6 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-30: 4, cleared, 19.8 min
vs DET, 2026-11-02: 3, cleared, 20.2 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L10

Matthew TkachukLW
Seth JonesD
Brady TkachukLW
Aleksander BarkovCInjured Reserve
Brad MarchandLWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Panthers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CHI

Shots on Goal: 2 in 20.1 min, Oct 25 (away)

Over 2.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against CHI on record

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 3.4; +0.9 vs line
Median: 3; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −113
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Time on ice: 19.5; 10 games · 21.3 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3572 books	—	9/10
−1132 books	−1151 book	6/10
+2222 books	—	4/10
+4752 books	—	3/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
FanDuel3 min ago	−113Best	−115Best
Bovada13 min ago	−114	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:39 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over −114 → −113 since first seen

Sam Reinhart's full game log and splits