Sam Reinhart

Florida Panthers · C · #13

FLA @ WSH · Today 12:30 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price −1805 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

80%8 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

at CBJ, 2026-10-13: 3, cleared, 19.4 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-15: 1, cleared, 22.3 min
vs SEA, 2026-10-17: 2, cleared, 17.4 min
at OTT, 2026-10-21: 0, missed, 15.9 min
at PIT, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 20.5 min
at CHI, 2026-10-25: 1, cleared, 20.1 min
at WPG, 2026-10-27: 1, cleared, 18.6 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-30: 2, cleared, 19.8 min
vs DET, 2026-11-02: 1, cleared, 20.2 min
vs CHI, 2026-11-04: 3, cleared, 18.1 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 points.

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Aleksander Barkov: Injured Reserve (knee)
Over 0.5 without him: 49 of 78; with him: 8 of 17 (95 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Brad Marchand: Injured Reserve (knee)
Over 0.5 without him: 14 of 26; with him: 43 of 69 (95 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Logan Thompson (Expected)
Saves: 236 of 266 (.887) over his last 10 games · 6 of WSH's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
WSH allow 7.21 points a game to forwards: 8th most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 8.20, 5th most

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against WSH in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 4 of 6 against WSH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Matthew TkachukLW
Seth JonesD
Brady TkachukLW
Aleksander BarkovCInjured Reserve
Brad MarchandLWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Panthers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs WSH

Points: 2 in 22.1 min, Jan 17 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 4 of 6 games against WSH on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 1.4; +0.9 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 64%; at −180
Books’ fair: 58%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −156

Research, not a pick. At −165 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −156, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1805 books	+1201 book	8/10
+2555 books	—	4/10
+7505 books	—	2/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings6 min ago	−165Best	+120Best
Bally Bet6 min ago	−180	—
betPARX2 min ago	−180	—
BetRivers2 min ago	−180	—
FanDuel2 min ago	−180	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:04 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: −186 → −180 since first seen

Sam Reinhart's full game log and splits