Sam Reinhart
FLA @ WSH · Today 12:30 PM
Game log against Under 0.5
40%4 of 10L10
Under 0.5 Assists hit in 4 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 assists.
What's different today
Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Aleksander Barkov: Injured Reserve (knee)
Under 0.5 without him: 49 of 78; with him: 12 of 17 (95 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Brad Marchand: Injured Reserve (knee)
Under 0.5 without him: 17 of 26; with him: 44 of 69 (95 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Logan Thompson (Confirmed)
Saves: 236 of 266 (.887) over his last 10 games · 6 of WSH's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
WSH allow 4.07 assists a game to forwards: 8th most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 4.60, 5th most
Splits
Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against WSH in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 2 of 6 against WSH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 0.5 · L10Matthew TkachukLW
Seth JonesD
Brady TkachukLW
Aleksander BarkovCInjured Reserve
Brad MarchandLWInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Panthers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs WSH
Assists: 2 in 22.1 min, Jan 17 (away)
Under 0.5 hit in 2 of 6 games against WSH on record
L10 · Under 0.5
- Average
- 0.7
- +0.2 vs line
- Median
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 40%
- 4 of 10
- Price implies
- 64%
- at −180
- Books’ fair
- 59%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 60%
- estimate · fair −147
Research, not a pick. At −168 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −147, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +1267 books | −1802 books | 4/10 | |
| +7003 books | — | 9/10 | |
| +20002 books | — | 10/10 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle5 min ago | +126 | −168Best |
| DraftKings5 min ago | +135Best | −180 |
| Bally Bet5 min ago | +115 | — |
| betPARX2 min ago | +115 | — |
| BetRivers1 min ago | +115 | — |
| Bovada5 min ago | +126 | — |
| FanDuel2 min ago | +128 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 11:07 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.