Ryan O'Reilly
NSH @ COL · Today 9:30 PMGame log against Over 0.5
80%8 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Points cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (1 of 2 on the road).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 points.
What's different today
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickOpposing goalie
Mackenzie Blackwood (Confirmed)
Saves: 216 of 243 (.889) over his last 10 games · 7 of COL's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
COL allow 6.38 points a game to forwards: 16th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 6.50, 12th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 20.8 min · 2026–27: 20.9 (15 games)
Power play: 3.9 min last 5 · 3.5 2026–27
Rest
1 day off since Nov 3 vs CAR
At altitude: Denver, 5,280 ft
Splits
Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 0.5 · L10Roman JosiD
Filip ForsbergLW
Steven StamkosC
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Predators count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs COL
Points: 4 in 20.8 min, Oct 25 (home)
Over 0.5 hit in 5 of 10 games against COL on record
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 1.2
- +0.7 vs line
- Median
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 80%
- 8 of 10
- Price implies
- 61%
- at −158
- Books’ fair
- 59%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 62%
- estimate · fair −164
Research, not a pick. At −148 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −164, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1586 books | +1252 books | 8/10 | |
| +3205 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +10602 books | — | 1/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet7 min ago | −148Best | — |
| betPARX5 min ago | −148Best | — |
| BetRivers4 min ago | −148Best | — |
| FanDuel5 min ago | −158 | — |
| DraftKings7 min ago | −165 | +125 |
| Pinnacle7 min ago | −175 | +131Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:16 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Over: −195 → −158 since first seen


