Ryan O'Reilly

Nashville Predators · C · #90

NSH @ COL · Today 9:30 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Assists, typical price −1606 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Assists hit in 5 of his last 10 games (1 of 2 on the road).

vs VGK, 2026-10-13: 1, missed, 20.4 min
vs SJ, 2026-10-15: 0, hit, 21.7 min
vs STL, 2026-10-17: 0, hit, 20.6 min
at BOS, 2026-10-22: 0, hit, 16.6 min
at PIT, 2026-10-24: 1, missed, 19.7 min
vs COL, 2026-10-25: 2, missed, 20.8 min
vs NYI, 2026-10-27: 0, hit, 24.2 min
vs WSH, 2026-10-29: 1, missed, 21.7 min
vs TB, 2026-10-31: 1, missed, 18 min
vs CAR, 2026-11-03: 0, hit, 19.4 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 assists.

What's different today

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Opposing goalie
Mackenzie Blackwood (Confirmed)
Saves: 216 of 243 (.889) over his last 10 games · 7 of COL's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
COL allow 3.69 assists a game to forwards: 17th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 3.80, 13th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 20.8 min · 2026–27: 20.9 (15 games)
Power play: 3.9 min last 5 · 3.5 2026–27
Rest
1 day off since Nov 3 vs CAR
At altitude: Denver, 5,280 ft

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Roman JosiD
Filip ForsbergLW
Steven StamkosC

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Predators count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs COL

Assists: 2 in 20.8 min, Oct 25 (home)

Under 0.5 hit in 5 of 10 games against COL on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.6; +0.1 vs line
Median: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 62%; at −160
Books’ fair: 57%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −134

Research, not a pick. At −155 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −134, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
+1176 books	−1602 books	5/10
+6302 books	—	9/10
+20001 book	—	10/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings10 min ago	+115	−155Best
Pinnacle10 min ago	+120Best	−160
Bally Bet10 min ago	+117	—
betPARX10 min ago	+117	—
BetRivers10 min ago	+117	—
FanDuel9 min ago	+116	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:35 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under: −150 → −160 since first seen

Ryan O'Reilly's full game log and splits