Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Edmonton Oilers · C · #93

ANA @ EDM · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price −1755 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).

at ANA, 2026-04-26: 1, cleared, 17.7 min
vs ANA, 2026-04-28: 2, cleared, 19 min
at ANA, 2026-04-30: 0, missed, 16 min
vs CAR, 2026-10-22: 2, cleared, 21 min
vs TOR, 2026-10-24: 0, missed, 18.7 min
vs DET, 2026-10-26: 1, cleared, 21.9 min
vs CGY, 2026-10-28: 2, cleared, 18.4 min
at NYI, 2026-10-31: 2, cleared, 18.8 min
at NYR, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 20.2 min
at NJ, 2026-11-03: 2, cleared, 19.5 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 points.

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayDefense vs forwards
ANA allow 7.93 points a game to forwards: 2nd most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 9.20, the most
Teammate out
Matt Savoie: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 0.5 without him: 5 of 7; with him: 46 of 78 (85 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Zach Hyman: Injured Reserve (neck)
Over 0.5 without him: 17 of 32; with him: 42 of 69 (101 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Lukas Dostal (Expected)
Saves: 226 of 263 (.859) over his last 10 games · 5 of ANA's last 10 starts

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Connor McDavidC
Evan BouchardD
Leon DraisaitlC
Matt SavoieCInjured Reserve
Zach HymanLWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Oilers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs ANA

Nugent-Hopkins didn't play the Oct 7 meeting; points the last time Nugent-Hopkins faced them: 0 (Apr 30)

Over 0.5 hit in 7 of 13 games against ANA on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 1.2; +0.7 vs line
Median: 1.5; +1 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 64%; at −175
Books’ fair: 58%; margin removed
Our chance: 60%; estimate · fair −149

Research, not a pick. At −160 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −149, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1755 books	+1201 book	7/10
+2705 books	—	5/10
+9004 books	—	0/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings5 min ago	−160Best	+120Best
Bally Bet5 min ago	−175	—
betPARX2 min ago	−175	—
BetRivers3 min ago	−175	—
FanDuel1 min ago	−186	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:03 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: −184 → −175 since first seen

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's full game log and splits