Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
ANA @ EDM · Today 8:00 PM
Game log against Over 1.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–4 shots on goal.
What's different today
Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayOpposing goalie
Laurent Brossoit (Confirmed)
Saves: 56 of 68 (.824) over his last 3 games · 2 of ANA's last 10 starts · Lukas Dostal started 5
Teammate out
Matt Savoie: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 1.5 without him: 4 of 7; with him: 45 of 78 (85 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Zach Hyman: Injured Reserve (neck)
Over 1.5 without him: 15 of 32; with him: 45 of 69 (101 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
ANA allow 20.5 shots on goal a game to forwards: 15th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 21.9, 5th most
Splits
Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 1.5 · L10Connor McDavidC
Evan BouchardD
Leon DraisaitlC
Matt SavoieCInjured Reserve
Zach HymanLWInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Oilers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs ANA
Nugent-Hopkins didn't play the Oct 7 meeting; shots on goal the last time Nugent-Hopkins faced them: 2 (Apr 30)
Over 1.5 hit in 7 of 13 games against ANA on record
L10 · Over 1.5
- Average
- 1.9
- +0.4 vs line
- Median
- 1.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 64%
- at −179
- Books’ fair
- 59%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −133
Research, not a pick. At −165 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −133, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −9503 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −1797 books | +1345 books | 5/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 2/10 | |
| +1503 books | −2001 book | 2/10 | |
| +3903 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +9001 book | — | 1/10 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet10 min ago | −165Best | +117 |
| betPARX4 min ago | −165Best | +117 |
| BetRivers4 min ago | −165Best | — |
| Pinnacle10 min ago | −179 | +134 |
| DraftKings10 min ago | −185 | +135 |
| FanDuel5 min ago | −188 | +142Best |
| Bovada10 min ago | −196 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 5:34 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.52.5 → 1.5 since first seen