Rasmus Dahlin

Buffalo Sabres · D · #26

CBJ @ BUF · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price −2005 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 at home).

vs MIN, 2026-10-06: 1, cleared, 29.3 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-08: 0, missed, 26.4 min
vs UTAH, 2026-10-10: 1, cleared, 25.7 min
vs FLA, 2026-10-12: 1, cleared, 9.1 min
vs PHI, 2026-10-21: 0, missed, 26.5 min
at WSH, 2026-10-24: 1, cleared, 27.3 min
at SJ, 2026-10-27: 0, missed, 26.3 min
at ANA, 2026-10-29: 2, cleared, 26 min
at LA, 2026-10-31: 2, cleared, 23.4 min
vs OTT, 2026-11-04: 0, missed, 24.4 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 points.

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayOpposing goalie
Cam Talbot (Expected); he started the day before too
Saves: 206 of 232 (.888) over his last 10 games · 6 of CBJ's last 10 starts
Teammate out
Konsta Helenius: Out (upper body)
Over 0.5 without him: 23 of 38; with him: 16 of 21 (59 games as teammates)
Defense vs defensemen
CBJ allow 2.21 points a game to defensemen: 15th most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 2.00, 21st most
Time on ice
Last 5: 25.5 min · 2026–27: 24.6 (12 games)
Power play: 3.2 min last 5 · 3.4 2026–27

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CBJ in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 4 of 7 against CBJ on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Tage ThompsonC
Zach BensonLW
Jack QuinnRW
Konsta HeleniusCOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Sabres count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CBJ

Points: 0 in 26 min, Oct 1 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 4 of 7 games against CBJ on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.8; +0.3 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 67%; at −200
Books’ fair: 62%; margin removed
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −141

Research, not a pick. At −200 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −141, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2005 books	+1451 book	6/10
+2255 books	—	2/10
+6505 books	—	0/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet4 min ago	−200Best	—
betPARX6 min ago	−200Best	—
BetRivers5 min ago	−200Best	—
DraftKings4 min ago	−200Best	+145Best
FanDuel4 min ago	−200Best	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:00 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

−194 → −200 since first seen

Rasmus Dahlin's full game log and splits