Pavel Dorofeyev

New York Rangers · RW · #16

STL @ NYR · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1382 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Sean Durzi: Out (undisclosed)
Over 2.5 without him: 0 of 1; with him: 7 of 14 (15 games as teammates). A small sample.
Opposing goalie
Joel Hofer started STL's last game
Saves: 263 of 287 (.916) over his last 10 games · 7 of STL's last 10 starts · no probable starter posted yet
Defense vs forwards
STL allow 19.7 shots on goal a game to forwards: 19th most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 20.1, 15th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 17.5 min · 2026–27: 17.5 (15 games)
Power play: 2.1 min last 5 · 2.9 2026–27

40%4 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 at home).

at WSH, 2026-10-09: 4, cleared, 19.6 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-11: 2, missed, 18.2 min
vs TB, 2026-10-13: 2, missed, 15.9 min
at NJ, 2026-10-15: 5, cleared, 19 min
at CBJ, 2026-10-17: 2, missed, 20.2 min
vs ANA, 2026-10-19: 5, cleared, 18 min
at TOR, 2026-10-22: 2, missed, 16.6 min
at OTT, 2026-10-24: 4, cleared, 19.1 min
vs LA, 2026-10-26: 1, missed, 16.2 min
vs EDM, 2026-11-01: 1, missed, 17.6 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against STL in his last 10; Over 2.5 cleared in 3 of 5 against STL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L10

Adam FoxD
Alexis LafreniereLW
Mika ZibanejadC
Sean DurziDOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Rangers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs STL

Dorofeyev didn't play the Dec 18, 2025 meeting; shots on goal the last time Dorofeyev faced them: 3 (Jan 10)

Over 2.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against STL on record

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 2.8; +0.3 vs line
Median: 2; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 58%; at −138
Books’ fair: 54%; margin removed
Time on ice: 18; 10 games · 17.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 54%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−20001 book	—	10/10
−3801 book	—	8/10
−1382 books	+1032 books	4/10
+1502 books	−1901 book	4/10
+3701 book	—	2/10
+8001 book	—	0/10
+17001 book	—	0/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
DraftKings3 hr ago	−135Best	+100
Pinnacle3 hr ago	−142	+107Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over −159 → −138 since first seen

Pavel Dorofeyev's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:12 PM ET.