Pavel Dorofeyev

New York Rangers · RW · #16

STL @ NYR · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Assists, typical price −2196 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Assists hit in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

at WSH, 2026-10-09: 1, missed, 19.6 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-11: 0, hit, 18.2 min
vs TB, 2026-10-13: 0, hit, 15.9 min
at NJ, 2026-10-15: 0, hit, 19 min
at CBJ, 2026-10-17: 0, hit, 20.2 min
vs ANA, 2026-10-19: 1, missed, 18 min
at TOR, 2026-10-22: 1, missed, 16.6 min
at OTT, 2026-10-24: 0, hit, 19.1 min
vs LA, 2026-10-26: 1, missed, 16.2 min
vs EDM, 2026-11-01: 0, hit, 17.6 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 lineTime on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–1 assists.

Count only

Under 0.5 · L10

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Adam FoxD
Alexis LafreniereLW
Mika ZibanejadC

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Rangers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Matchup · 14 games

STL allow 3.71 assists a game to forwards: 16th most of 32

Rest

1 day off since Nov 1 vs EDM

Last vs STL

Dorofeyev didn't play the Dec 18, 2025 meeting; assists the last time Dorofeyev faced them: 0 (Jan 10)

Under 0.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against STL on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 69%; at −219
Books’ fair: 64%; margin removed
Our chance: 66%; estimate · fair −191

Research, not a pick. At −214 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −191, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1726 books	−2192 books	6/10
	+9082 books	—	10/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Pinnacle9 min ago	+158	−214Best
DraftKings9 min ago	+165	−225
Bally Bet9 min ago	+180Best	—
betPARX5 min ago	+180Best	—
BetRivers2 min ago	+180Best	—
FanDuel2 min ago	+146	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:54 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.