Pavel Dorofeyev

New York Rangers · RW · #16

PHI @ NYR · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Assists, typical price −2806 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Assists hit in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).

vs VAN, 2026-10-11: 0, hit, 18.2 min
vs TB, 2026-10-13: 0, hit, 15.9 min
at NJ, 2026-10-15: 0, hit, 19 min
at CBJ, 2026-10-17: 0, hit, 20.2 min
vs ANA, 2026-10-19: 1, missed, 18 min
at TOR, 2026-10-22: 1, missed, 16.6 min
at OTT, 2026-10-24: 0, hit, 19.1 min
vs LA, 2026-10-26: 1, missed, 16.2 min
vs EDM, 2026-11-01: 0, hit, 17.6 min
vs STL, 2026-11-03: 0, hit, 13.3 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 assists.

What's different today

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayOpposing goalie
Joseph Woll (Confirmed)
Saves: 255 of 287 (.889) over his last 10 games · 4 of PHI's last 10 starts · Dan Vladar started 6
Teammate out
Sean Durzi: Injured Reserve (undisclosed)
Under 0.5 without him: 2 of 2; with him: 9 of 14 (16 games as teammates). A small sample.
Defense vs forwards
PHI allow 4.12 assists a game to forwards: 8th most of 32
17 games · last 10 games: 3.60, 17th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 16.6 min · 2026–27: 17.2 (16 games)
Power play: 1.8 min last 5 · 2.9 2026–27

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against PHI in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 3 of 4 against PHI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Adam FoxD
Alexis LafreniereLW
Mika ZibanejadC
Sean DurziDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Rangers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHI

Dorofeyev didn't play the Mar 9 meeting; assists the last time Dorofeyev faced them: 0 (Jan 19)

Under 0.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against PHI on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.3; −0.2 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 74%; at −280
Books’ fair: 69%; margin removed
Our chance: 69%; estimate · fair −225

Research, not a pick. At −277 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −225, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1656 books	−2802 books	7/10
	+10002 books	—	10/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Pinnacle4 min ago	+199	−277Best
DraftKings4 min ago	+205Best	−280
Bally Bet4 min ago	+165	—
betPARX2 min ago	+165	—
BetRivers3 min ago	+165	—
FanDuel2 min ago	+172	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:30 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Pavel Dorofeyev's full game log and splits