Pavel Dorofeyev

New York Rangers · RW · #16

PHI @ NYR · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1201 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

30%3 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (1 of 6 at home).

vs VAN, 2026-10-11: 2, missed, 18.2 min
vs TB, 2026-10-13: 2, missed, 15.9 min
at NJ, 2026-10-15: 5, cleared, 19 min
at CBJ, 2026-10-17: 2, missed, 20.2 min
vs ANA, 2026-10-19: 5, cleared, 18 min
at TOR, 2026-10-22: 2, missed, 16.6 min
at OTT, 2026-10-24: 4, cleared, 19.1 min
vs LA, 2026-10-26: 1, missed, 16.2 min
vs EDM, 2026-11-01: 1, missed, 17.6 min
vs STL, 2026-11-03: 1, missed, 13.3 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

What's different today

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Opposing goalie
Dan Vladar (Expected)
Saves: 256 of 288 (.889) over his last 10 games · 6 of PHI's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
PHI allow 21.6 shots on goal a game to forwards: 5th most of 32
17 games · last 10 games: 19.0, 21st most
Time on ice
Last 5: 16.6 min · 2026–27: 17.2 (16 games)
Power play: 1.8 min last 5 · 2.9 2026–27
Rest
1 day off since Nov 3 vs STL

Splits

Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against PHI in his last 10; Over 2.5 cleared in 3 of 4 against PHI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L10

Adam FoxD
Alexis LafreniereLW
Mika ZibanejadC

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Rangers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHI

Dorofeyev didn't play the Mar 9 meeting; shots on goal the last time Dorofeyev faced them: 5 (Jan 19)

Over 2.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against PHI on record

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 2.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 2; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 30%; 3 of 10
Price implies: 55%; at −120
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Time on ice: 17.4; 10 games · 17.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 51%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3851 book	—	7/10
−1201 book	−1081 book	3/10
+2051 book	—	3/10
+4601 book	—	2/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 3 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
FanDuel5 min ago	−120Best	−108Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 12:20 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over: −140 → −120 since first seen

Pavel Dorofeyev's full game log and splits