Noah Dobson

Montreal Canadiens · D · #53

UTAH @ MTL · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1626 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

80%8 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).

vs BUF, 2026-10-13: 2, cleared, 18.9 min
at WSH, 2026-10-14: 5, cleared, 22.4 min
vs BUF, 2026-10-17: 3, cleared, 21.3 min
vs SJ, 2026-10-20: 4, cleared, 21.7 min
at CHI, 2026-10-23: 2, cleared, 19.8 min
at WPG, 2026-10-25: 1, missed, 19.4 min
at STL, 2026-10-27: 2, cleared, 19.6 min
at DAL, 2026-10-29: 4, cleared, 20.4 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-31: 1, missed, 20.8 min
vs WPG, 2026-11-03: 2, cleared, 20.2 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–4 shots on goal.

What's different today

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Ivan Demidov: Injured Reserve (ankle)
Over 1.5 without him: 10 of 13; with him: 53 of 95 (108 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Mike Matheson: Out (lower body)
Over 1.5 without him: 7 of 10; with him: 56 of 98 (108 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Karel Vejmelka (Expected)
Saves: 209 of 242 (.864) over his last 10 games · 7 of UTAH's last 10 starts
Defense vs defensemen
UTAH allow 6.4 shots on goal a game to defensemen: 28th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 7.2, 22nd most

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against UTAH in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 1 of 4 against UTAH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Nick SuzukiC
Cole CaufieldRW
Lane HutsonD
Ivan DemidovRWInjured Reserve
Mike MathesonDOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Canadiens count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs UTAH

Shots on Goal: 0 in 24.8 min, Nov 26, 2025 (away)

Over 1.5 hit in 1 of 4 games against UTAH on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 2.6; +1.1 vs line
Median: 2; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 62%; at −162
Books’ fair: 56%; margin removed
Our chance: 62%; estimate · fair −161

Research, not a pick. At −144 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −161, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−6702 books	—	10/10
−1626 books	+1105 books	8/10
+1902 books	—	4/10
+5001 book	—	3/10
+13001 book	—	1/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
FanDuel4 min ago	−144Best	+110
Pinnacle5 min ago	−145	+105
DraftKings5 min ago	−150	+110
Bally Bet5 min ago	−162	+115Best
betPARX5 min ago	−162	+115Best
BetRivers3 min ago	−162	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:45 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

−164 → −162 since first seen

Noah Dobson's full game log and splits