Noah Dobson

Montreal Canadiens · D · #53

WPG @ MTL · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal, typical price +1175 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightTeammate out
Nick Suzuki: Out (upper body)
Over 2.5 without him: 1 of 5; with him: 36 of 102 (107 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ivan Demidov: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 2.5 without him: 5 of 12; with him: 32 of 95 (107 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Mike Matheson: Out (lower body)
Over 2.5 without him: 4 of 9; with him: 33 of 98 (107 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Stuart Skinner (Expected)
Saves: 242 of 273 (.886) over his last 10 games · 6 of WPG's last 10 starts

20%1 of 5L20 · Without Suzuki

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 1 of 5 games without Nick Suzuki (his last 20 games).

at BUF, 2026-05-18: 1, missed, 26.5 min (not counted)
at CAR, 2026-05-21: 1, missed, 22.6 min (not counted)
at CAR, 2026-05-23: 0, missed, 24.6 min (not counted)
vs CAR, 2026-05-25: 3, cleared, 25.6 min (not counted)
vs CAR, 2026-05-27: 2, missed, 20.1 min (not counted)
at CAR, 2026-05-29: 2, missed, 20.6 min (not counted)
at TOR, 2026-09-29: 1, missed, 21.9 min (not counted)
at PIT, 2026-10-03: 1, missed, 23.1 min (not counted)
vs CAR, 2026-10-06: 2, missed, 24.3 min (not counted)
vs NSH, 2026-10-08: 3, cleared, 20.7 min (not counted)
vs DET, 2026-10-10: 1, missed, 19.9 min (not counted)
vs BUF, 2026-10-13: 2, missed, 18.9 min (not counted)
at WSH, 2026-10-14: 5, cleared, 22.4 min (not counted)
vs BUF, 2026-10-17: 3, cleared, 21.3 min (not counted)
vs SJ, 2026-10-20: 4, cleared, 21.7 min (not counted)
at CHI, 2026-10-23: 2, missed, 19.8 min
at WPG, 2026-10-25: 1, missed, 19.4 min
at STL, 2026-10-27: 2, missed, 19.6 min
at DAL, 2026-10-29: 4, cleared, 20.4 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-31: 1, missed, 20.8 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 lineTime on ice

Count only

Over 2.5 · L20

With or without

Over 2.5 · L20

Nick SuzukiCOut
Lane HutsonD
Cole CaufieldRW
Ivan DemidovRWInjured Reserve
Mike MathesonDOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Canadiens count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs WPG

Shots on Goal: 1 in 19.4 min, Oct 25 (away)

Over 2.5 hit in 2 of 5 games against WPG on record

L20 · Without Suzuki · Over 2.5

Average: 2; −0.5 vs line
Median: 2; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 20%; 1 of 5
Price implies: 46%; at +117
Books’ fair: 40%; margin removed
Time on ice: 20; 5 games · 22.4 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 40%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Suzuki

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−10001 book	—	5/5
−2101 book	pick'em only	3/5
+1175 books	−1784 books	1/5
+3301 book	—	1/5
+8001 book	—	0/5
+19001 book	—	0/5

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
Pinnacle1 min ago	+154Best	−208
DraftKings1 min ago	+145	−195
Bally Bet1 min ago	+117	−162Best
betPARX2 min ago	+117	−162Best
BetRivers2 min ago	+117	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 12:49 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over +125 → +117 since first seen

Noah Dobson's full game log and splits