Noah Dobson

Montreal Canadiens · D · #53

UTAH @ MTL · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Points, typical price −2256 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Points hit in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).

vs BUF, 2026-10-13: 0, hit, 18.9 min
at WSH, 2026-10-14: 1, missed, 22.4 min
vs BUF, 2026-10-17: 0, hit, 21.3 min
vs SJ, 2026-10-20: 0, hit, 21.7 min
at CHI, 2026-10-23: 0, hit, 19.8 min
at WPG, 2026-10-25: 1, missed, 19.4 min
at STL, 2026-10-27: 0, hit, 19.6 min
at DAL, 2026-10-29: 2, missed, 20.4 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-31: 0, hit, 20.8 min
vs WPG, 2026-11-03: 1, missed, 20.2 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 points.

What's different today

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayOpposing goalie
Sebastian Cossa (Confirmed)
Saves: 81 of 94 (.862) over his last 5 games · 3 of UTAH's last 10 starts · Karel Vejmelka started 7
Teammate out
Ivan Demidov: Injured Reserve (ankle)
Under 0.5 without him: 9 of 13; with him: 59 of 95 (108 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Mike Matheson: Out (lower body)
Under 0.5 without him: 6 of 10; with him: 62 of 98 (108 games as teammates)
Defense vs defensemen
UTAH allow 2.38 points a game to defensemen: 8th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 2.90, 2nd most

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against UTAH in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 1 of 4 against UTAH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Nick SuzukiC
Cole CaufieldRW
Lane HutsonD
Ivan DemidovRWInjured Reserve
Mike MathesonDOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Canadiens count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs UTAH

Points: 1 in 24.8 min, Nov 26, 2025 (away)

Under 0.5 hit in 1 of 4 games against UTAH on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 69%; at −225
Books’ fair: 63%; margin removed
Our chance: 62%; estimate · fair −163

Research, not a pick. At −195 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −163, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1176 books	−2252 books	6/10
	+5405 books	—	9/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Pinnacle2 min ago	+145	−195Best
DraftKings2 min ago	+165Best	−225
Bally Bet2 min ago	+117	—
betPARX1 min ago	+117	—
BetRiversjust now	+117	—
FanDuel1 min ago	+134	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:26 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Noah Dobson's full game log and splits