Nikolaj Ehlers

Carolina Hurricanes · LW · #27

CHI @ CAR · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal, typical price +1007 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 3 at home).

at WPG, 2026-10-17: 1, missed, 15.9 min
at CGY, 2026-10-18: 3, cleared, 16.4 min
at VAN, 2026-10-20: 4, cleared, 17.2 min
at EDM, 2026-10-22: 1, missed, 17.1 min
at STL, 2026-10-24: 2, missed, 15.5 min
vs BOS, 2026-10-27: 4, cleared, 16.3 min
vs CBJ, 2026-10-29: 0, missed, 15.9 min
vs WPG, 2026-11-01: 4, cleared, 13.4 min
at NSH, 2026-11-03: 3, cleared, 19 min
at NYI, 2026-11-05: 5, cleared, 15.8 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

What's different today

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayDefense vs forwards
CHI allow 22.7 shots on goal a game to forwards: 2nd most of 32
17 games · last 10 games: 23.5, 3rd most
Teammate out
Jordan Staal: Injured Reserve (calf)
Over 2.5 without him: 10 of 19; with him: 40 of 99 (118 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Spencer Knight (Expected)
Saves: 272 of 305 (.892) over his last 10 games · 8 of CHI's last 10 starts
Time on ice
Last 5: 16.1 min · 2026–27: 16.2 (18 games)
Power play: 2.9 min last 5 · 3.6 2026–27

Splits

Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CHI in his last 10; Over 2.5 cleared in 2 of 5 against CHI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L10

Sebastian AhoC
Jackson BlakeRW
Andrei SvechnikovLW
Jordan StaalCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Hurricanes count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CHI

Shots on Goal: 1 in 13.1 min, Oct 10 (away)

Over 2.5 hit in 2 of 5 games against CHI on record

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 2.7; +0.2 vs line
Median: 3; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 50%; at +100
Books’ fair: 47%; margin removed
Time on ice: 16.3; 10 games · 17 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 47%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−14001 book	—	9/10
−3353 books	—	7/10
+1007 books	−1306 books	6/10
+2353 books	—	4/10
+5103 books	—	1/10
+12001 book	—	0/10

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
Bally Bet3 min ago	+100Best	−139
betPARX3 min ago	+100Best	−139
BetRivers2 min ago	+100Best	—
Bovada3 min ago	+100Best	−130
FanDuel1 min ago	−102	−128
DraftKings3 min ago	−105	−130
Pinnacle3 min ago	−106	−122Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:10 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over: −106 → +100 since first seen

Nikolaj Ehlers's full game log and splits