Nate Schmidt

Utah Mammoth · D · #88

UTAH @ TOR · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price +2322 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Kailer Yamamoto: Out (upper body)
Over 0.5 without him: 6 of 29; with him: 15 of 74 (103 games as teammates)
Teammate out
John Marino: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Over 0.5 without him: 1 of 8; with him: 20 of 95 (103 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Anthony Stolarz started TOR's last game
Saves: 230 of 255 (.902) over his last 10 games · 4 of TOR's last 10 starts · Sergei Bobrovsky started 6 · no probable starter posted yet
Defense vs defensemen
TOR allow 2.44 points a game to defensemen: 8th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 2.80, 4th most

10%1 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 1 of his last 10 games (0 of 5 on the road).

at BUF, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 19.6 min
vs TOR, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 20.5 min
at EDM, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 22.4 min
vs EDM, 2026-10-17: 0, missed, 17 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-19: 2, cleared, 18.5 min
at SEA, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 20.2 min
vs TB, 2026-10-24: 0, missed, 18.8 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-27: 0, missed, 19.5 min
at PIT, 2026-10-29: 0, missed, 22.7 min
at PHI, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 17.9 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Clayton KellerRW
Mikhail SergachevD
Logan CooleyC
Kailer YamamotoRWOut
John MarinoDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Mammoth count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs TOR

Points: 0 in 20.5 min, Oct 13 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 5 of 14 games against TOR on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 10%; 1 of 10
Price implies: 30%; at +232
Books’ fair: 29%; margin removed
Time on ice: 19.7; 10 games · 19.8 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 29%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+2322 books	−3101 book	1/10
	+15001 book	—	1/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet59 min ago	+245Best	—
DraftKings59 min ago	+220	−310Best

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over +235 → +232 since first seen

Nate Schmidt's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:12 PM ET.