Nate Schmidt

Utah Mammoth · D · #88

UTAH @ TOR · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Assists, typical price +2801 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
John Marino: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Over 0.5 without him: 1 of 8; with him: 17 of 95 (103 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Maveric Lamoureux: Injured Reserve (shoulder)
Over 0.5 without him: 9 of 71; with him: 0 of 5 (76 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Sergei Bobrovsky (Confirmed)
Saves: 255 of 288 (.885) over his last 10 games · 6 of TOR's last 10 starts
Defense vs defensemen
TOR allow 1.75 assists a game to defensemen: 11th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 1.90, 10th most

10%1 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Assists cleared in 1 of his last 10 games (0 of 5 on the road).

at BUF, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 19.6 min
vs TOR, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 20.5 min
at EDM, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 22.4 min
vs EDM, 2026-10-17: 0, missed, 17 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-19: 1, cleared, 18.5 min
at SEA, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 20.2 min
vs TB, 2026-10-24: 0, missed, 18.8 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-27: 0, missed, 19.5 min
at PIT, 2026-10-29: 0, missed, 22.7 min
at PHI, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 17.9 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Clayton KellerRW
Mikhail SergachevD
Logan CooleyC
John MarinoDInjured Reserve
Maveric LamoureuxDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Mammoth count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs TOR

Assists: 0 in 20.5 min, Oct 13 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 5 of 14 games against TOR on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.1; −0.4 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 10%; 1 of 10
Price implies: 26%; at +280
Books’ fair: 25%; margin removed
Time on ice: 19.7; 10 games · 19.8 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 25%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+2801 book	−3901 book	1/10

Compare 1 sportsbook at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings8 min ago	+280Best	−390Best

Prices as of 6:08 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over No move since first seen

Nate Schmidt's full game log and splits