Mitch Marner

Vegas Golden Knights · RW · #93

VGK @ DET · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price −2252 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

100%10 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 10 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 on the road).

vs LA, 2026-10-10: 2, cleared, 20.3 min
at MIN, 2026-10-12: 1, cleared, 21.5 min
at NSH, 2026-10-13: 1, cleared, 15.4 min
vs CGY, 2026-10-15: 2, cleared, 18.7 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-17: 2, cleared, 17.1 min
vs TB, 2026-10-20: 1, cleared, 17.5 min
vs OTT, 2026-10-27: 1, cleared, 21.7 min
vs NJ, 2026-10-30: 2, cleared, 17.7 min
at BOS, 2026-11-02: 2, cleared, 24.4 min
at PIT, 2026-11-03: 1, cleared, 21.6 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 points.

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Parker Wotherspoon: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Over 0.5 without him: 9 of 9; with him: 4 of 6 (15 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
John Gibson (Expected)
Saves: 183 of 215 (.851) over his last 10 games · 5 of DET's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
DET allow 6.50 points a game to forwards: 14th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 5.90, 20th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 20.6 min · 2026–27: 20.2 (15 games)
Power play: 3.1 min last 5 · 3.9 2026–27

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DET in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 5 of 6 against DET on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Victor OlofssonLW
Jack EichelC
Mark StoneRW
Parker WotherspoonDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Golden Knights count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DET

Points: 3 in 20 min, Mar 4 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 5 of 6 games against DET on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 1.5; +1 vs line
Median: 1.5; +1 vs line
Hit rate: 100%; 10 of 10
Price implies: 69%; at −225
Books’ fair: 60%; margin removed
Our chance: 67%; estimate · fair −200

Research, not a pick. At −180 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −200, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2252 books	+1351 book	10/10
+2202 books	—	5/10
+7502 books	—	0/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings13 min ago	−180Best	+135Best
FanDuel3 min ago	−225	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:55 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

1.5 → 0.5 since first seen

Mitch Marner's full game log and splits