Mitch Marner

Vegas Golden Knights · RW · #93

VGK @ DET · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Assists, typical price −1346 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

100%10 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Assists cleared in 10 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 on the road).

vs LA, 2026-10-10: 1, cleared, 20.3 min
at MIN, 2026-10-12: 1, cleared, 21.5 min
at NSH, 2026-10-13: 1, cleared, 15.4 min
vs CGY, 2026-10-15: 2, cleared, 18.7 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-17: 2, cleared, 17.1 min
vs TB, 2026-10-20: 1, cleared, 17.5 min
vs OTT, 2026-10-27: 1, cleared, 21.7 min
vs NJ, 2026-10-30: 2, cleared, 17.7 min
at BOS, 2026-11-02: 2, cleared, 24.4 min
at PIT, 2026-11-03: 1, cleared, 21.6 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 assists.

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayOpposing goalie
Daniil Tarasov (Expected)
Saves: 210 of 227 (.925) over his last 10 games · 4 of DET's last 10 starts · John Gibson started 5
Teammate out
Parker Wotherspoon: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Over 0.5 without him: 9 of 9; with him: 3 of 6 (15 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
DET allow 4.06 assists a game to forwards: 10th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 3.70, 16th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 20.6 min · 2026–27: 20.2 (15 games)
Power play: 3.1 min last 5 · 3.9 2026–27

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DET in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 4 of 6 against DET on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Victor OlofssonLW
Jack EichelC
Mark StoneRW
Parker WotherspoonDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Golden Knights count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DET

Assists: 2 in 20 min, Mar 4 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 4 of 6 games against DET on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 1.4; +0.9 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 100%; 10 of 10
Price implies: 57%; at −134
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −155

Research, not a pick. At −119 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −155, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1346 books	−1112 books	10/10
+3602 books	—	4/10
+13001 book	—	0/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Pinnacle6 min ago	−119Best	−111
DraftKings6 min ago	−120	−110Best
Bally Bet6 min ago	−134	—
betPARX1 min ago	−134	—
BetRivers1 min ago	−134	—
FanDuel1 min ago	−140	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:47 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

−146 → −134 since first seen

Mitch Marner's full game log and splits