Mikko Rantanen

Dallas Stars · RW · #96

DAL @ CBJ · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price −2206 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

73%11 of 15L20 · Without Duchene

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 11 of 15 games without Matt Duchene (his last 20 games).

vs MIN, 2026-04-20: 1, cleared, 19.2 min (not counted)
at MIN, 2026-04-22: 2, cleared, 27.2 min (not counted)
at MIN, 2026-04-25: 2, cleared, 23 min (not counted)
vs MIN, 2026-04-28: 1, cleared, 23.5 min (not counted)
at MIN, 2026-04-30: 1, cleared, 21.8 min (not counted)
vs STL, 2026-10-02: 0, missed, 22.2 min
at NSH, 2026-10-03: 1, cleared, 23.9 min
vs SJ, 2026-10-05: 1, cleared, 17.6 min
at BUF, 2026-10-08: 4, cleared, 15.5 min
at PIT, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 23.2 min
vs COL, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 21.6 min
at COL, 2026-10-14: 1, cleared, 22.7 min
at CHI, 2026-10-17: 1, cleared, 18.8 min
vs BOS, 2026-10-20: 3, cleared, 22.2 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-22: 2, cleared, 20.2 min
vs NYI, 2026-10-25: 1, cleared, 18.9 min
vs NJ, 2026-10-27: 0, missed, 17.5 min
vs MTL, 2026-10-29: 2, cleared, 23.1 min
vs CBJ, 2026-10-31: 1, cleared, 18.8 min
at WSH, 2026-11-03: 1, cleared, 18.9 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 points.

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Matt Duchene: Injured Reserve (abdomen)
Over 0.5 without him: 30 of 39; with him: 40 of 57 (96 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Miro Heiskanen: Out (upper body)
Over 0.5 without him: 2 of 5; with him: 66 of 88 (93 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Sam Steel: Out (personal)
Over 0.5 without him: 7 of 11; with him: 63 of 85 (96 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Cam Talbot (Confirmed)
Saves: 190 of 216 (.880) over his last 10 games · 5 of CBJ's last 10 starts

Splits

Over 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L20

Jason RobertsonLW
Matt DucheneCInjured Reserve
Wyatt JohnstonC
Miro HeiskanenDOut
Sam SteelCOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Stars count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CBJ

Points: 1 in 18.8 min, Oct 31 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 2 of 3 games against CBJ on record

L20 · Without Duchene · Over 0.5

Average: 1.2; +0.7 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 73%; 11 of 15
Price implies: 69%; at −220
Books’ fair: 63%; margin removed
Our chance: 66%; estimate · fair −195

Research, not a pick. At −200 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −195, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Duchene

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−2206 books	+1452 books	11/15
+2155 books	—	4/15
+6505 books	—	2/15

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Pinnacle2 min ago	−200Best	+145
DraftKings2 min ago	−210	+155Best
FanDuel1 min ago	−215	—
Bally Bet2 min ago	−220	—
betPARX1 min ago	−220	—
BetRiversjust now	−220	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:30 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

1.5 → 0.5 since first seen

Mikko Rantanen's full game log and splits