Mikhail Sergachev

Utah Mammoth · D · #98

UTAH @ TOR · Tue, Nov 3 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price −1603 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different yesterday

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Kailer Yamamoto: Out (upper body)
Over 0.5 without him: 16 of 29; with him: 42 of 70 (99 games as teammates)
Teammate out
John Marino: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Over 0.5 without him: 7 of 8; with him: 51 of 91 (99 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Anthony Stolarz started TOR's last game
Saves: 230 of 255 (.902) over his last 10 games · 4 of TOR's last 10 starts · Sergei Bobrovsky started 6 · no probable starter posted yet
Defense vs defensemen
TOR allow 2.44 points a game to defensemen: 8th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 2.80, 4th most

90%9 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 9 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).

at BUF, 2026-10-10: 1, cleared, 25.4 min
vs TOR, 2026-10-13: 2, cleared, 23.7 min
at EDM, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 24.7 min
vs EDM, 2026-10-17: 1, cleared, 21 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-19: 1, cleared, 24.9 min
at SEA, 2026-10-22: 2, cleared, 27 min
vs TB, 2026-10-24: 1, cleared, 26 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-27: 1, cleared, 24.2 min
at PIT, 2026-10-29: 1, cleared, 26.3 min
at PHI, 2026-11-01: 1, cleared, 24.5 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Clayton KellerRW
Logan CooleyC
Nick SchmaltzC
Kailer YamamotoRWOut
John MarinoDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Mammoth count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs TOR

Points: 2 in 23.7 min, Oct 13 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 4 of 5 games against TOR on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 1.1; +0.6 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 90%; 9 of 10
Price implies: 62%; at −160
Books’ fair: 58%; margin removed
Time on ice: 24.8; 10 games · 24.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 58%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1603 books	+1202 books	9/10
+2822 books	—	2/10
+9642 books	—	0/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings6 hr ago	−160Best	+120Best
Pinnacle6 hr ago	−160Best	+120Best
Bally Bet6 hr ago	−175	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over −156 → −160 since first seen

Mikhail Sergachev's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:12 PM ET.