Mikhail Sergachev

Utah Mammoth · D · #98

UTAH @ TOR · Tue, Nov 3 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Assists, typical price −1163 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different yesterday

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Kailer Yamamoto: Out (upper body)
Over 0.5 without him: 14 of 29; with him: 34 of 70 (99 games as teammates)
Teammate out
John Marino: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Over 0.5 without him: 5 of 8; with him: 43 of 91 (99 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Anthony Stolarz started TOR's last game
Saves: 230 of 255 (.902) over his last 10 games · 4 of TOR's last 10 starts · Sergei Bobrovsky started 6 · no probable starter posted yet
Defense vs defensemen
TOR allow 1.75 assists a game to defensemen: 11th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 1.90, 10th most

60%6 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Assists cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).

at BUF, 2026-10-10: 1, cleared, 25.4 min
vs TOR, 2026-10-13: 1, cleared, 23.7 min
at EDM, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 24.7 min
vs EDM, 2026-10-17: 0, missed, 21 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-19: 1, cleared, 24.9 min
at SEA, 2026-10-22: 2, cleared, 27 min
vs TB, 2026-10-24: 1, cleared, 26 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-27: 1, cleared, 24.2 min
at PIT, 2026-10-29: 0, missed, 26.3 min
at PHI, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 24.5 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Clayton KellerRW
Logan CooleyC
Nick SchmaltzC
Kailer YamamotoRWOut
John MarinoDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Mammoth count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs TOR

Assists: 1 in 23.7 min, Oct 13 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against TOR on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.7; +0.2 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 54%; at −116
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Time on ice: 24.8; 10 games · 24.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	−1163 books	−1142 books	6/10
	+4251 book	—	1/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings8 hr ago	−115Best	−115
Pinnacle8 hr ago	−116	−114Best
Bally Bet8 hr ago	−136	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: −111 → −116 since first seen

Mikhail Sergachev's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:12 PM ET.