Mikael Granlund
ANA @ EDM · Today 8:00 PMGame log against Under 0.5
60%6 of 10L10
Under 0.5 Assists hit in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 on the road).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 assists.
What's different today
Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Troy Terry: Injured Reserve (hip)
Under 0.5 without him: 19 of 30; with him: 40 of 54 (84 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ryan Poehling: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Under 0.5 without him: 8 of 11; with him: 51 of 73 (84 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Tristan Jarry (Expected)
Saves: 224 of 248 (.903) over his last 10 games · 6 of EDM's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
EDM allow 3.44 assists a game to forwards: 21st most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 3.30, 21st most
Splits
Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against EDM in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 11 of 18 against EDM on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 0.5 · L10Leo CarlssonC
Beckett SenneckeRW
Cutter GauthierLW
Troy TerryRWInjured Reserve
Ryan PoehlingCInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Ducks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs EDM
Assists: 1 in 21.6 min, Oct 7 (home)
Under 0.5 hit in 11 of 18 games against EDM on record
L10 · Under 0.5
- Average
- 0.6
- +0.1 vs line
- Median
- 0
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 64%
- at −175
- Books’ fair
- 59%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −133
Research, not a pick. At −171 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −133, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +1283 books | −1752 books | 6/10 | |
| +6802 books | — | 8/10 | |
| +25001 book | — | 10/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle4 min ago | +128 | −171Best |
| DraftKings4 min ago | +130Best | −175 |
| FanDuel4 min ago | +126 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:15 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.


