Mikael Granlund

Anaheim Ducks · C · #64

ANA @ EDM · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1463 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 6 on the road).

at CGY, 2026-10-10: 4, cleared, 19.4 min
vs CGY, 2026-10-13: 2, cleared, 20.9 min
at NYR, 2026-10-19: 2, cleared, 16.1 min
at NYI, 2026-10-20: 1, missed, 20.6 min
at NJ, 2026-10-22: 1, missed, 20.1 min
at PHI, 2026-10-24: 1, missed, 21.7 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-27: 2, cleared, 22.6 min
vs BUF, 2026-10-29: 2, cleared, 23.2 min
vs OTT, 2026-11-01: 2, cleared, 20.1 min
at VAN, 2026-11-03: 1, missed, 20.2 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–4 shots on goal.

What's different today

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Troy Terry: Injured Reserve (hip)
Over 1.5 without him: 20 of 30; with him: 31 of 54 (84 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ryan Poehling: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 1.5 without him: 7 of 11; with him: 44 of 73 (84 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Tristan Jarry (Expected)
Saves: 224 of 248 (.903) over his last 10 games · 6 of EDM's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
EDM allow 18.8 shots on goal a game to forwards: 22nd most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 19.6, 17th most

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against EDM in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 8 of 18 against EDM on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Leo CarlssonC
Beckett SenneckeRW
Cutter GauthierLW
Troy TerryRWInjured Reserve
Ryan PoehlingCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Ducks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs EDM

Shots on Goal: 2 in 21.6 min, Oct 7 (home)

Over 1.5 hit in 8 of 18 games against EDM on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.8; +0.3 vs line
Median: 2; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 59%; at −146
Books’ fair: 55%; margin removed
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −128

Research, not a pick. At −138 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −128, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−8002 books	—	10/10
−1463 books	+1062 books	6/10
+2102 books	—	1/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
FanDuel4 min ago	−138Best	+106
Pinnacle10 min ago	−146	+112Best
Bovada16 min ago	−148	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 3:36 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: −160 → −146 since first seen

Mikael Granlund's full game log and splits