Michael McCarron

Minnesota Wild · C · #47

MIN @ PHI · Tue, Nov 3 7:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price +1051 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different yesterday

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Brock Faber: Injured Reserve (skull)
Over 1.5 without him: 10 of 18; with him: 9 of 29 (47 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Nick Foligno: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Over 1.5 without him: 7 of 15; with him: 12 of 31 (46 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Dan Vladar started PHI's last game
Saves: 265 of 298 (.889) over his last 10 games · 5 of PHI's last 10 starts · no probable starter posted yet
Defense vs forwards
PHI allow 21.8 shots on goal a game to forwards: 5th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 19.5, 18th most

50%5 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (4 of 7 on the road).

at WPG, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 15.2 min
vs STL, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 11.4 min
vs CBJ, 2026-10-18: 0, missed, 11.5 min
at EDM, 2026-10-20: 5, cleared, 13.6 min
at CGY, 2026-10-22: 1, missed, 11.5 min
at SEA, 2026-10-24: 2, cleared, 15.2 min
at VAN, 2026-10-25: 5, cleared, 14.8 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-27: 2, cleared, 12.8 min
vs NYI, 2026-10-29: 3, cleared, 12.2 min
at WSH, 2026-11-01: 1, missed, 13.6 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against PHI in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 1 of 4 against PHI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Kirill KaprizovLW
Quinn HughesD
Matt BoldyLW
Brock FaberDInjured Reserve
Nick FolignoLWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Wild count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHI

Shots on Goal: 1 in 11.4 min, Mar 12 (home)

Over 1.5 hit in 1 of 4 games against PHI on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.9; +0.4 vs line
Median: 1.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 49%; at +105
Books’ fair: 46%; margin removed
Time on ice: 13.2; 10 games · 14.2 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 46%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−4251 book	—	7/10
+1051 book	−1401 book	5/10
+3101 book	—	3/10
+8501 book	—	2/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
DraftKings6 hr ago	+105Best	−140Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over No move since first seen

Michael McCarron's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:12 PM ET.