Michael McCarron

Minnesota Wild · C · #47

MIN @ PHI · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price +2001 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Brock Faber: Injured Reserve (skull)
Over 0.5 without him: 8 of 18; with him: 7 of 29 (47 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Nick Foligno: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Over 0.5 without him: 4 of 15; with him: 10 of 31 (46 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Dan Vladar started PHI's last game
Saves: 265 of 298 (.889) over his last 10 games · 5 of PHI's last 10 starts · no probable starter posted yet
Defense vs forwards
PHI allow 6.69 points a game to forwards: 12th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 5.90, 21st most

40%4 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (3 of 7 on the road).

at WPG, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 15.2 min
vs STL, 2026-10-15: 1, cleared, 11.4 min
vs CBJ, 2026-10-18: 0, missed, 11.5 min
at EDM, 2026-10-20: 0, missed, 13.6 min
at CGY, 2026-10-22: 1, cleared, 11.5 min
at SEA, 2026-10-24: 0, missed, 15.2 min
at VAN, 2026-10-25: 1, cleared, 14.8 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-27: 0, missed, 12.8 min
vs NYI, 2026-10-29: 0, missed, 12.2 min
at WSH, 2026-11-01: 1, cleared, 13.6 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against PHI in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 1 of 4 against PHI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Kirill KaprizovLW
Quinn HughesD
Matt BoldyLW
Brock FaberDInjured Reserve
Nick FolignoLWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Wild count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHI

Points: 0 in 11.4 min, Mar 12 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 1 of 4 games against PHI on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 33%; at +200
Books’ fair: 31%; margin removed
Time on ice: 13.2; 10 games · 14.2 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 31%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+2001 book	−2701 book	4/10
	+12001 book	—	0/10

Compare 1 sportsbook at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings4 hr ago	+200Best	−270Best

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over +265 → +200 since first seen

Michael McCarron's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:12 PM ET.