Michael Carcone

Utah Mammoth · LW · #53

UTAH @ TOR · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Goals, typical price +3103 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightBack from an absence
Tonight is his 2nd game back after missing 9 games in a row (Oct 10 – Oct 29)
Over 0.5 since: 0 of 1
Teammate out
Kailer Yamamoto: Out (upper body)
Over 0.5 without him: 5 of 29; with him: 13 of 62 (91 games as teammates)
Teammate out
John Marino: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Over 0.5 without him: 0 of 3; with him: 18 of 88 (91 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Anthony Stolarz started TOR's last game
Saves: 230 of 255 (.902) over his last 10 games · 4 of TOR's last 10 starts · Sergei Bobrovsky started 6 · no probable starter posted yet

30%3 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Goals cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (1 of 6 on the road).

vs VGK, 2026-04-24: 0, missed, 10.1 min
vs VGK, 2026-04-27: 1, cleared, 15.1 min
at VGK, 2026-04-29: 1, cleared, 17.6 min
vs VGK, 2026-05-01: 0, missed, 17 min
vs CHI, 2026-10-01: 1, cleared, 12.7 min
at CBJ, 2026-10-03: 0, missed, 13.1 min
at NYR, 2026-10-04: 0, missed, 12.7 min
at NJ, 2026-10-06: 0, missed, 10.8 min
at BOS, 2026-10-08: 0, missed, 13.2 min
at PHI, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 13.7 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against TOR in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 3 of 4 against TOR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Clayton KellerRW
Mikhail SergachevD
Logan CooleyC
Kailer YamamotoRWOut
John MarinoDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Mammoth count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs TOR

Carcone didn't play the Oct 13 meeting; goals the last time Carcone faced them: 1 (Jan 13)

Over 0.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against TOR on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.3; −0.2 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 30%; 3 of 10
Price implies: 24%; at +310
Books’ fair: 20%; margin removed
Time on ice: 13.6; 10 games · 12.8 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 20%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+3103 books	−6251 book	3/10
	+23362 books	—	0/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Goals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Pinnacle2 hr ago	+370Best	−625Best
DraftKings2 hr ago	+310	—
Bally Bet2 hr ago	+300	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over +342 → +310 since first seen

Michael Carcone's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:12 PM ET.