Matt Coronato

Calgary Flames · RW · #27

CGY @ SEA · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Assists, typical price −1742 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Jonathan Huberdeau: Injured Reserve (hip)
Under 0.5 without him: 24 of 41; with him: 38 of 49 (90 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Connor Zary: Out (knee)
Under 0.5 without him: 9 of 21; with him: 57 of 74 (95 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Philipp Grubauer (Expected)
Saves: 217 of 246 (.882) over his last 10 games · 7 of SEA's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
SEA allow 4.21 assists a game to forwards: 5th most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 4.40, 6th most

50%5 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Assists hit in 5 of his last 10 games (5 of 5 on the road).

at ANA, 2026-10-13: 0, hit, 17.2 min
at VGK, 2026-10-15: 0, hit, 16 min
vs CAR, 2026-10-18: 1, missed, 19.5 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-22: 1, missed, 16.4 min
vs DET, 2026-10-24: 2, missed, 16.2 min
vs TOR, 2026-10-26: 2, missed, 18.7 min
at EDM, 2026-10-28: 0, hit, 18.2 min
vs SEA, 2026-10-30: 3, missed, 13.5 min
at COL, 2026-10-31: 0, hit, 15.6 min
at SJ, 2026-11-02: 0, hit, 18.6 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 assists.

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Joel FarabeeLW
Matvei GridinRW
Morgan FrostC
Jonathan HuberdeauLWInjured Reserve
Connor ZaryCOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Flames count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs SEA

Assists: 3 in 13.5 min, Oct 30 (home)

Under 0.5 hit in 7 of 10 games against SEA on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.9; +0.4 vs line
Median: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 64%; at −174
Books’ fair: 59%; margin removed
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −129

Research, not a pick. At −174 the price is worse than our fair −129, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
+1302 books	−1741 book	5/10
+7501 book	—	7/10
+25001 book	—	9/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Pinnacle6 min ago	+130Best	−174Best
FanDuel1 min ago	+130Best	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 12:54 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Matt Coronato's full game log and splits