Mark Stone

Vegas Golden Knights · RW · #61

VGK @ PIT · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price −2007 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightRest · back-to-back
Golden Knights played last night (at BOS): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Parker Wotherspoon: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Over 0.5 without him: 7 of 10; with him: 5 of 6 (16 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Arturs Silovs (Confirmed)
Saves: 247 of 275 (.898) over his last 10 games · 6 of PIT's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
PIT allow 7.14 points a game to forwards: 8th most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 7.60, 5th most

70%7 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).

at MIN, 2026-10-12: 0, missed, 20.1 min
at NSH, 2026-10-13: 1, cleared, 16.6 min
vs CGY, 2026-10-15: 3, cleared, 14 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-17: 3, cleared, 14.8 min
vs TB, 2026-10-20: 1, cleared, 18.5 min
at STL, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 16.8 min
at CBJ, 2026-10-24: 0, missed, 20.4 min
vs OTT, 2026-10-27: 1, cleared, 20.1 min
vs NJ, 2026-10-30: 1, cleared, 16.3 min
at BOS, 2026-11-02: 1, cleared, 21.6 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 points.

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Mitch MarnerRW
Victor OlofssonLW
Jack EichelC
Parker WotherspoonDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Golden Knights count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PIT

Points: 3 in 14.8 min, Oct 17 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 4 of 6 games against PIT on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 1.1; +0.6 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 67%; at −200
Books’ fair: 61%; margin removed
Our chance: 64%; estimate · fair −178

Research, not a pick. At −180 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −178, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2007 books	+1372 books	7/10
+2306 books	—	2/10
+7006 books	—	2/10

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Pinnacle2 min ago	−180Best	+135
FanDuel3 min ago	−192	—
DraftKings2 min ago	−195	+140Best
betPARXjust now	−200	—
BetRiversjust now	−200	—
Bally Bet2 min ago	−205	—
Bovada1 min ago	−210	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:40 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

1.5 → 0.5 since first seen

Mark Stone's full game log and splits