Mark Stone
VGK @ PIT · Today 7:00 PM
Game log against Over 0.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Points cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 points.
Count only
Over 0.5 · L10Matchup · 14 games
PIT allow 7.14 points a game to forwards: 9th most of 32
Rest · back-to-back
Golden Knights played last night (at BOS): 2nd night of a back-to-back
Last vs PIT
Points: 3 in 14.8 min, Oct 17 (home)
Over 0.5 hit in 4 of 6 games against PIT on record
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 1.1
- +0.6 vs line
- Median
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 67%
- at −201
- Books’ fair
- 61%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 64%
- estimate · fair −179
Research, not a pick. At −185 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −179, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2012 books | +1401 book | 7/10 | |
| +2402 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +8862 books | — | 2/10 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings11 min ago | −185Best | +140Best |
| FanDueljust now | −220 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 4:58 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.51.5 → 0.5 since first seen