Macklin Celebrini

San Jose Sharks · C · #71

SJ @ DAL · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price −2106 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L20 · Without Wennberg

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 6 of 10 games without Alexander Wennberg (his last 20 games).

vs VAN, 2026-04-11: 2, cleared, 22.2 min (not counted)
at NSH, 2026-04-13: 2, cleared, 19.6 min (not counted)
at CHI, 2026-04-15: 0, missed, 18.9 min (not counted)
at WPG, 2026-04-16: 3, cleared, 14.7 min
vs FLA, 2026-10-01: 3, cleared, 23 min (not counted)
vs LA, 2026-10-03: 2, cleared, 21.7 min (not counted)
vs EDM, 2026-10-10: 1, cleared, 22 min (not counted)
vs BOS, 2026-10-13: 2, cleared, 19.9 min (not counted)
at NSH, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 23.7 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-10-17: 3, cleared, 26.9 min (not counted)
at TOR, 2026-10-19: 0, missed, 22 min (not counted)
at MTL, 2026-10-20: 3, cleared, 23.1 min
at OTT, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 23.2 min
at BOS, 2026-10-24: 1, cleared, 21.6 min
vs BUF, 2026-10-27: 0, missed, 25 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-29: 1, cleared, 22.9 min
vs OTT, 2026-10-31: 0, missed, 19.7 min
vs CGY, 2026-11-02: 0, missed, 22.9 min
at LA, 2026-11-04: 1, cleared, 22.7 min
at MIN, 2026-11-06: 1, cleared, 25 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 points.

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Alexander Wennberg: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Over 0.5 without him: 7 of 11; with him: 63 of 87 (98 games as teammates)
TodayDefense vs forwards
DAL allow 4.44 points a game to forwards: 31st most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 5.10, 27th most
TodayRest · back-to-back
Sharks played the day before (at MIN): a back-to-back
3rd straight road game
Teammate out
Igor Chernyshov: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Over 0.5 without him: 18 of 28; with him: 28 of 37 (65 games as teammates)

Splits

Over 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against DAL in his last 20; Over 0.5 cleared in 3 of 5 against DAL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L20

Alexander WennbergCInjured Reserve
Will SmithC
Jacob TroubaD
Igor ChernyshovLWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Sharks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DAL

Celebrini didn't play the Oct 5 meeting; points the last time Celebrini faced them: 3 (Jan 10)

Over 0.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against DAL on record

L20 · Without Wennberg · Over 0.5

Average: 1; +0.5 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 68%; at −210
Books’ fair: 63%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −158

Research, not a pick. At −210 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −158, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Wennberg

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−2106 books	+1552 books	6/10
+2255 books	pick'em only	2/10
+7004 books	—	2/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet6 min ago	−210Best	—
betPARX1 min ago	−210Best	—
BetRivers3 min ago	−210Best	—
DraftKings6 min ago	−210Best	+155Best
Pinnacle6 min ago	−210Best	+155Best
FanDuel1 min ago	−250	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:59 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

1.5 → 0.5 since first seen

Macklin Celebrini's full game log and splits