Macklin Celebrini
SJ @ DAL · Today 8:00 PMGame log against Under 0.5
60%6 of 10L20 · Without Wennberg
Under 0.5 Assists hit in 6 of 10 games without Alexander Wennberg (his last 20 games).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 assists.
What's different today
Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayTeammate out
Alexander Wennberg: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Under 0.5 without him: 6 of 11; with him: 39 of 87 (98 games as teammates)
TodayDefense vs forwards
DAL allow 2.50 assists a game to forwards: the fewest of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 3.00, 26th most
TodayRest · back-to-back
Sharks played the day before (at MIN): a back-to-back
3rd straight road game
Teammate out
Igor Chernyshov: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Under 0.5 without him: 17 of 28; with him: 15 of 37 (65 games as teammates)
Splits
Under 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderNo game against DAL in his last 20; Under 0.5 hit in 2 of 5 against DAL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 0.5 · L20Alexander WennbergCInjured Reserve
Will SmithC
Jacob TroubaD
Igor ChernyshovLWInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Sharks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs DAL
Celebrini didn't play the Oct 5 meeting; assists the last time Celebrini faced them: 3 (Jan 10)
Under 0.5 hit in 2 of 5 games against DAL on record
L20 · Without Wennberg · Under 0.5
- Average
- 0.5
- ±0 vs line
- Median
- 0
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 57%
- at −135
- Books’ fair
- 52%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −132
Research, not a pick. At −119 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −132, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L20 · Without Wennberg| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1077 books | −1352 books | 6/10 | |
| +4603 books | — | 9/10 | |
| +15002 books | — | 10/10 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle5 min ago | −111 | −119Best |
| DraftKings5 min ago | +100Best | −135 |
| Bally Bet5 min ago | −107 | — |
| betPARX5 min ago | −107 | — |
| BetRivers5 min ago | −107 | — |
| Bovada5 min ago | −113 | — |
| FanDuel5 min ago | −120 | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 11:05 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.


