Logan Cooley
UTAH @ MTL · Today 7:00 PMGame log against Over 0.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Points cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 points.
What's different today
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
John Marino: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Over 0.5 without him: 5 of 9; with him: 36 of 67 (76 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Maveric Lamoureux: Injured Reserve (shoulder)
Over 0.5 without him: 27 of 47; with him: 0 of 2 (49 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Jacob Fowler (Expected)
Saves: 249 of 270 (.922) over his last 10 games · 7 of MTL's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
MTL allow 6.13 points a game to forwards: 20th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 5.30, 28th most
Splits
Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against MTL in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 3 of 4 against MTL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 0.5 · L10Clayton KellerRW
Mikhail SergachevD
Nick SchmaltzC
John MarinoDInjured Reserve
Maveric LamoureuxDInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Mammoth count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs MTL
Points: 1 in 15.5 min, Nov 26, 2025 (home)
Over 0.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against MTL on record
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 1.2
- +0.7 vs line
- Median
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 65%
- at −185
- Books’ fair
- 60%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 62%
- estimate · fair −166
Research, not a pick. At −159 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −166, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1856 books | +1352 books | 7/10 | |
| +2905 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +9004 books | — | 1/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| betPARX1 min ago | −159Best | — |
| Bally Bet2 min ago | −162 | — |
| BetRivers2 min ago | −162 | — |
| DraftKings2 min ago | −185 | +135Best |
| Pinnacle2 min ago | −185 | +135Best |
| FanDuel1 min ago | −196 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:59 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Over: −184 → −185 since first seen


