Logan Cooley

Utah Mammoth · C · #92

UTAH @ MTL · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −2055 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Under 2.5 Shots on Goal hit in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).

vs TOR, 2026-10-13: 3, missed, 18.8 min
at EDM, 2026-10-15: 3, missed, 16 min
vs EDM, 2026-10-17: 1, hit, 17.9 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-19: 2, hit, 16.5 min
at SEA, 2026-10-22: 2, hit, 17.4 min
vs TB, 2026-10-24: 0, hit, 19.5 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-27: 3, missed, 20.7 min
at PIT, 2026-10-29: 5, missed, 18.6 min
at PHI, 2026-11-01: 2, hit, 18.2 min
at TOR, 2026-11-03: 3, missed, 18.7 min

Under hitMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–4 shots on goal.

What's different today

Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayOpposing goalie
Jakub Dobes (Confirmed)
Saves: 262 of 300 (.873) over his last 10 games · 3 of MTL's last 10 starts · Jacob Fowler started 7
Teammate out
Kailer Yamamoto: Out (upper body)
Under 2.5 without him: 11 of 16; with him: 40 of 60 (76 games as teammates)
Teammate out
John Marino: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Under 2.5 without him: 6 of 9; with him: 45 of 67 (76 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
MTL allow 20.9 shots on goal a game to forwards: 9th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 20.9, 9th most

Splits

Under 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MTL in his last 10; Under 2.5 hit in 3 of 4 against MTL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 2.5 · L10

Clayton KellerRW
Mikhail SergachevD
Nick SchmaltzC
Kailer YamamotoRWOut
John MarinoDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Mammoth count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MTL

Shots on Goal: 2 in 15.5 min, Nov 26, 2025 (home)

Under 2.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against MTL on record

L10 · Under 2.5

Average: 2.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 2.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 67%; at −205
Books’ fair: 62%; margin removed
Our chance: 65%; estimate · fair −182

Research, not a pick. At −185 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −182, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−10002 books	—	1/10
−2102 books	—	2/10
+1455 books	−2054 books	5/10
+3402 books	—	9/10
+8001 book	—	9/10
+19001 book	—	10/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
DraftKings4 hr ago	+135	−185Best
Bovada4 hr ago	+145	−190
Bally Bet4 hr ago	+145	−205
Pinnacle4 hr ago	+153Best	−207
betPARX4 hr ago	+145	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:09 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

1.5 → 2.5 since first seen

Logan Cooley's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:09 PM ET.