Leon Draisaitl
ANA @ EDM · Today 8:00 PMGame log against Over 0.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Assists cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 6 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 assists.
What's different today
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayDefense vs forwards
ANA allow 4.60 assists a game to forwards: 3rd most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 5.20, 2nd most
Teammate out
Matt Savoie: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 0.5 without him: 9 of 16; with him: 42 of 71 (87 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Zach Hyman: Injured Reserve (neck)
Over 0.5 without him: 16 of 36; with him: 46 of 67 (103 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Lukas Dostal (Expected)
Saves: 226 of 263 (.859) over his last 10 games · 5 of ANA's last 10 starts
Splits
Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against ANA in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 8 of 12 against ANA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 0.5 · L10Connor McDavidC
Evan BouchardD
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsC
Matt SavoieCInjured Reserve
Zach HymanLWInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Oilers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs ANA
Assists: 4 in 19.3 min, Oct 7 (away)
Over 0.5 hit in 8 of 12 games against ANA on record
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 0.9
- +0.4 vs line
- Median
- 0.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 69%
- at −225
- Books’ fair
- 61%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 59%
- estimate · fair −143
Research, not a pick. At −159 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −143, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2257 books | +1262 books | 5/10 | |
| +2056 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +7003 books | — | 1/10 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada5 min ago | −159Best | — |
| Pinnacle6 min ago | −169 | +126 |
| DraftKings6 min ago | −220 | +160Best |
| Bally Bet6 min ago | −225 | — |
| betPARX5 min ago | −225 | — |
| BetRivers7 min ago | −225 | — |
| FanDuel5 min ago | −250 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 12:49 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Over: −160 → −225 since first seen


