Leon Draisaitl

Edmonton Oilers · C · #29

ANA @ EDM · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under3.5

Under 3.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1604 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 3.5 Shots on Goal hit in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 at home).

vs UTAH, 2026-10-15: 3, hit, 23 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-17: 1, hit, 18.5 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-20: 4, missed, 24.1 min
vs CAR, 2026-10-22: 4, missed, 24.4 min
vs TOR, 2026-10-24: 7, missed, 21 min
vs DET, 2026-10-26: 3, hit, 25.7 min
vs CGY, 2026-10-28: 2, hit, 19.1 min
at NYI, 2026-10-31: 2, hit, 19.7 min
at NYR, 2026-11-01: 3, hit, 20.1 min
at NJ, 2026-11-03: 5, missed, 22.8 min

Under hitMissedThe 3.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 1–6 shots on goal.

What's different today

Under 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Matt Savoie: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Under 3.5 without him: 9 of 16; with him: 49 of 71 (87 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Zach Hyman: Injured Reserve (neck)
Under 3.5 without him: 25 of 36; with him: 43 of 67 (103 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Lukas Dostal (Expected)
Saves: 226 of 263 (.859) over his last 10 games · 5 of ANA's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
ANA allow 20.5 shots on goal a game to forwards: 15th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 21.9, 5th most

Splits

Under 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against ANA in his last 10; Under 3.5 hit in 9 of 12 against ANA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 3.5 · L10

Connor McDavidC
Evan BouchardD
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsC
Matt SavoieCInjured Reserve
Zach HymanLWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Oilers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs ANA

Shots on Goal: 2 in 19.3 min, Oct 7 (away)

Under 3.5 hit in 9 of 12 games against ANA on record

L10 · Under 3.5

Average: 3.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 3; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 62%; at −160
Books’ fair: 57%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −138

Research, not a pick. At −135 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −138, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−40001 book	—	0/10
−6703 books	—	1/10
−2103 books	—	3/10
+1224 books	−1603 books	6/10
+2653 books	—	8/10
+5503 books	—	9/10
+8001 book	—	9/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5	Under 3.5
DraftKings9 min ago	+100	−135Best
FanDuel3 min ago	+122	−160
Pinnacle9 min ago	+127	−169
Bovada9 min ago	+130Best	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:05 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

Under isn't priced at 3.5 right now.

Leon Draisaitl's full game log and splits