Kyle Connor

Winnipeg Jets · LW · #81

VAN @ WPG · Thu, Nov 5 8:00 PM

Over Under3.5

Over 3.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1151 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

33%4 of 12L20 · Without Morrissey

Over 3.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 4 of 12 games without Josh Morrissey (his last 20 games).

vs PHI, 2026-04-11: 2, missed, 19.5 min (not counted)
at VGK, 2026-04-13: 3, missed, 21.4 min (not counted)
at UTAH, 2026-04-14: 6, cleared, 20.9 min (not counted)
vs SJ, 2026-04-16: 7, cleared, 18.3 min (not counted)
vs BOS, 2026-10-02: 9, cleared, 20.9 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-10-04: 5, cleared, 20.1 min (not counted)
at PIT, 2026-10-05: 6, cleared, 22 min (not counted)
vs COL, 2026-10-07: 4, cleared, 20.1 min (not counted)
vs ANA, 2026-10-09: 3, missed, 23.9 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-13: 3, missed, 17.4 min
at CHI, 2026-10-15: 5, cleared, 21.1 min
vs CAR, 2026-10-17: 2, missed, 20.2 min
at STL, 2026-10-20: 4, cleared, 21.7 min
at DAL, 2026-10-22: 3, missed, 23 min
vs MTL, 2026-10-25: 5, cleared, 24.4 min
vs FLA, 2026-10-27: 3, missed, 21.6 min
at TB, 2026-10-29: 3, missed, 19.2 min
at FLA, 2026-10-30: 2, missed, 20.7 min
at CAR, 2026-11-01: 2, missed, 19.3 min
at MTL, 2026-11-03: 8, cleared, 27.8 min

ClearedMissedThe 3.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

What's different yesterday

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayTeammate out
Josh Morrissey: Injured Reserve (wrist)
Over 3.5 without him: 7 of 17; with him: 38 of 86 (103 games as teammates)
YesterdayDefense vs forwards
VAN allow 24.4 shots on goal a game to forwards: the most of 32
17 games · last 10 games: 24.4, the most
Teammate out
Vladislav Namestnikov: Injured Reserve (undisclosed)
Over 3.5 without him: 14 of 32; with him: 31 of 72 (104 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Kevin Lankinen started VAN's last game
Saves: 206 of 254 (.811) over his last 10 games · 3 of VAN's last 10 starts · Leevi Merilainen started 7 · no probable starter posted yet

Splits

Over 3.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against VAN in his last 20; Over 3.5 cleared in 2 of 6 against VAN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 3.5 · L20

Mark ScheifeleC
Josh MorrisseyDInjured Reserve
Neal PionkD
Vladislav NamestnikovCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Jets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs VAN

Shots on Goal: 3 in 25.2 min, Mar 7 (home)

Over 3.5 hit in 2 of 6 games against VAN on record

L20 · Without Morrissey · Over 3.5

Average: 3.6; +0.1 vs line
Median: 3; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 33%; 4 of 12
Price implies: 53%; at −115
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Time on ice: 21.7; 12 games · 21.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Morrissey

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−50001 book	—	12/12
−8001 book	—	12/12
−2651 book	—	9/12
−1151 book	−1201 book	4/12
+1851 book	—	3/12
+3801 book	—	1/12
+7501 book	—	1/12

Compare 1 sportsbook at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5	Under 3.5
DraftKings5 hr ago	−115Best	−120Best

Prices as of 7:27 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

4.5 → 3.5 since first seen

Kyle Connor's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:28 PM ET.